Traders' strong consensus favoring "No" at 89.5% implied probability stems from the absence of formal criminal charges against Andrew Mountbatten-Windsor following his February 19, 2026, arrest on suspicion of misconduct in public office. The allegation, tied to newly released Epstein files suggesting he shared confidential trade envoy information, prompted 12 hours of questioning before release under investigation, with no decision from the Crown Prosecution Service to proceed. Legal experts highlight the charge's rarity and prosecutorial challenges, compounded by UK court backlogs extending trials to 2030. King Charles's neutral stance that "law must take its course" underscores institutional independence, but ongoing probes without escalation reinforce skepticism of a prison sentence.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoSim
$202,941 Vol.
$202,941 Vol.
31 dez 2026
Sim
$202,941 Vol.
$202,941 Vol.
31 dez 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Prince Andrew is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Prince Andrew is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
If at any point all charges against Prince Andrew for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Traders' strong consensus favoring "No" at 89.5% implied probability stems from the absence of formal criminal charges against Andrew Mountbatten-Windsor following his February 19, 2026, arrest on suspicion of misconduct in public office. The allegation, tied to newly released Epstein files suggesting he shared confidential trade envoy information, prompted 12 hours of questioning before release under investigation, with no decision from the Crown Prosecution Service to proceed. Legal experts highlight the charge's rarity and prosecutorial challenges, compounded by UK court backlogs extending trials to 2030. King Charles's neutral stance that "law must take its course" underscores institutional independence, but ongoing probes without escalation reinforce skepticism of a prison sentence.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Prince Andrew is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Prince Andrew is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
If at any point all charges against Prince Andrew for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Prince Andrew is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
If at any point all charges against Prince Andrew for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado Aberto: Feb 19, 2026, 11:21 AM ET
Volume
$202,941Data de Término
31 dez 2026Mercado Aberto
Feb 19, 2026, 11:21 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Prince Andrew is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Prince Andrew is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
If at any point all charges against Prince Andrew for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Traders' strong consensus favoring "No" at 89.5% implied probability stems from the absence of formal criminal charges against Andrew Mountbatten-Windsor following his February 19, 2026, arrest on suspicion of misconduct in public office. The allegation, tied to newly released Epstein files suggesting he shared confidential trade envoy information, prompted 12 hours of questioning before release under investigation, with no decision from the Crown Prosecution Service to proceed. Legal experts highlight the charge's rarity and prosecutorial challenges, compounded by UK court backlogs extending trials to 2030. King Charles's neutral stance that "law must take its course" underscores institutional independence, but ongoing probes without escalation reinforce skepticism of a prison sentence.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Prince Andrew is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Prince Andrew is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
If at any point all charges against Prince Andrew for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Prince Andrew is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
If at any point all charges against Prince Andrew for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$202,941Data de Término
31 dez 2026Mercado Aberto
Feb 19, 2026, 11:21 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Traders' strong consensus favoring "No" at 89.5% implied probability stems from the absence of formal criminal charges against Andrew Mountbatten-Windsor following his February 19, 2026, arrest on suspicion of misconduct in public office. The allegation, tied to newly released Epstein files suggesting he shared confidential trade envoy information, prompted 12 hours of questioning before release under investigation, with no decision from the Crown Prosecution Service to proceed. Legal experts highlight the charge's rarity and prosecutorial challenges, compounded by UK court backlogs extending trials to 2030. King Charles's neutral stance that "law must take its course" underscores institutional independence, but ongoing probes without escalation reinforce skepticism of a prison sentence.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions