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O Reino Unido designará o IRGC como uma organização terrorista até 30 de junho?

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O Reino Unido designará o IRGC como uma organização terrorista até 30 de junho?

Sim

17% acaso
Polymarket

$81,876 Vol.

Sim

17% acaso
Polymarket

$81,876 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United Kingdom government formally designates the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) as a terrorist organization by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." This includes designation as a proscribed terrorist group or organisation according to the UK Home Office, as well as the use of Royal Prerogative Powers or Orders in Council, legislation signed into law, or the creation of a new national designation that formally designates the IRGC as a terrorist organization. Statements by government officials, including the Prime Minister, Home Office, or National Crime Service, will not count unless accompanied by a formal designation. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting or official information from the UK Government.**Despite the EU's late January 2026 designation of Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) as a terrorist organisation—prompting initial Home Office signals of forthcoming UK legislation—the official proscribed list remains unchanged as of its January 28 update, with no IRGC entry.** Ongoing parliamentary pressure, including a March 2 Early Day Motion condemning the IRGC as a state-backed terrorist entity and Liberal Democrat plans for proscription legislation, has yielded no government action from Home Secretary Yvette Cooper. Critics cite diplomatic concerns with Iran, a state actor, as a barrier, unlike the US designation in 2019. With under three months to June 30, traders' 83.5% "No" consensus reflects stalled progress and procedural hurdles requiring Home Office order and parliamentary approval.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United Kingdom government formally designates the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) as a terrorist organization by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

This includes designation as a proscribed terrorist group or organisation according to the UK Home Office, as well as the use of Royal Prerogative Powers or Orders in Council, legislation signed into law, or the creation of a new national designation that formally designates the IRGC as a terrorist organization.

Statements by government officials, including the Prime Minister, Home Office, or National Crime Service, will not count unless accompanied by a formal designation.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting or official information from the UK Government.
Volume
$81,876
Data de Término
30 jun 2026
Mercado Aberto
Nov 18, 2025, 11:33 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United Kingdom government formally designates the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) as a terrorist organization by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." This includes designation as a proscribed terrorist group or organisation according to the UK Home Office, as well as the use of Royal Prerogative Powers or Orders in Council, legislation signed into law, or the creation of a new national designation that formally designates the IRGC as a terrorist organization. Statements by government officials, including the Prime Minister, Home Office, or National Crime Service, will not count unless accompanied by a formal designation. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting or official information from the UK Government.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United Kingdom government formally designates the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) as a terrorist organization by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." This includes designation as a proscribed terrorist group or organisation according to the UK Home Office, as well as the use of Royal Prerogative Powers or Orders in Council, legislation signed into law, or the creation of a new national designation that formally designates the IRGC as a terrorist organization. Statements by government officials, including the Prime Minister, Home Office, or National Crime Service, will not count unless accompanied by a formal designation. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting or official information from the UK Government.**Despite the EU's late January 2026 designation of Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) as a terrorist organisation—prompting initial Home Office signals of forthcoming UK legislation—the official proscribed list remains unchanged as of its January 28 update, with no IRGC entry.** Ongoing parliamentary pressure, including a March 2 Early Day Motion condemning the IRGC as a state-backed terrorist entity and Liberal Democrat plans for proscription legislation, has yielded no government action from Home Secretary Yvette Cooper. Critics cite diplomatic concerns with Iran, a state actor, as a barrier, unlike the US designation in 2019. With under three months to June 30, traders' 83.5% "No" consensus reflects stalled progress and procedural hurdles requiring Home Office order and parliamentary approval.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United Kingdom government formally designates the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) as a terrorist organization by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

This includes designation as a proscribed terrorist group or organisation according to the UK Home Office, as well as the use of Royal Prerogative Powers or Orders in Council, legislation signed into law, or the creation of a new national designation that formally designates the IRGC as a terrorist organization.

Statements by government officials, including the Prime Minister, Home Office, or National Crime Service, will not count unless accompanied by a formal designation.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting or official information from the UK Government.
Volume
$81,876
Data de Término
30 jun 2026
Mercado Aberto
Nov 18, 2025, 11:33 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United Kingdom government formally designates the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) as a terrorist organization by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." This includes designation as a proscribed terrorist group or organisation according to the UK Home Office, as well as the use of Royal Prerogative Powers or Orders in Council, legislation signed into law, or the creation of a new national designation that formally designates the IRGC as a terrorist organization. Statements by government officials, including the Prime Minister, Home Office, or National Crime Service, will not count unless accompanied by a formal designation. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting or official information from the UK Government.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"O Reino Unido designará o IRGC como uma organização terrorista até 30 de junho? " is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "O Reino Unido irá designar a IRGC como uma organização terrorista até 30 de junho?" at 17%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 17¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 17% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "O Reino Unido designará o IRGC como uma organização terrorista até 30 de junho? " has generated $81.9K in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 18, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "O Reino Unido designará o IRGC como uma organização terrorista até 30 de junho? ," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "O Reino Unido designará o IRGC como uma organização terrorista até 30 de junho? " is "O Reino Unido irá designar a IRGC como uma organização terrorista até 30 de junho?" at 17%, meaning the market assigns a 17% chance to that outcome. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "O Reino Unido designará o IRGC como uma organização terrorista até 30 de junho? " define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.