Trader sentiment on whether Iran's Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei will post on X via @khamenei_ir about specified topics tracks his office's selective use of the platform for official statements amid geopolitical tensions. Recent drivers include Iran's October 1 missile strikes on Israel, prompting Khamenei speeches translated and shared on the account, though no exact-match tweet yet. The account averages 1-2 posts weekly, prioritizing major escalations like potential Israeli retaliation or U.S. election commentary. Traders note historical restraint on reactive tweeting, with odds implying low probability absent direct provocation. Upcoming UN speeches or regional developments could shift consensus before market resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoKhamenei vai tuitar sobre...?
Khamenei vai tuitar sobre...?
$106,044 Vol.
21 de março
92%
22 de março
86%
23 de março
89%
$106,044 Vol.
21 de março
92%
22 de março
86%
23 de março
89%
Posts include any post, repost, or reply.
The resolution source for this market are Khamenei's official X profiles: https://x.com/khamenei_ir, https://x.com/KhameneiBangla, https://x.com/az_Khamenei, https://x.com/Khamenei_fa, https://x.com/ar_Khamenei, https://x.com/Khamenei_Heb. Posts/tweets from any other account will not qualify.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 15, 2026, 6:47 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Resultado proposto: Sim
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Sim
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader sentiment on whether Iran's Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei will post on X via @khamenei_ir about specified topics tracks his office's selective use of the platform for official statements amid geopolitical tensions. Recent drivers include Iran's October 1 missile strikes on Israel, prompting Khamenei speeches translated and shared on the account, though no exact-match tweet yet. The account averages 1-2 posts weekly, prioritizing major escalations like potential Israeli retaliation or U.S. election commentary. Traders note historical restraint on reactive tweeting, with odds implying low probability absent direct provocation. Upcoming UN speeches or regional developments could shift consensus before market resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
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