Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward endorsements for Susan Collins in Maine's Senate race (67%) and Ken Paxton challenging in Texas Senate (60%), amid competitive odds for other 2026 midterm contests like Andy Barr (Kentucky Senate, 46%) and Lindsey Graham (South Carolina Senate, leading at 100% per updates). Recent hesitation stems from late-March reports of Trump weighing Texas GOP primary runoff dynamics post-March 3 first round, where Paxton advanced against incumbent John Cornyn (21%) despite MAGA grassroots pressure and past Trump leanings toward Cornyn sparking backlash. No announcements in the last 30 days; upcoming Texas runoff (May 26) and April special elections (Georgia House runoff April 7 featuring Trump-backed Clay Fuller) may catalyze moves, as historical patterns show Trump's endorsements boosting GOP primary turnout in battlegrounds.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado$111,064 Vol.

Susan Collins - Senado do ME
67%

Ken Paxton - Senado do TX
60%

Andy Barr - KY-Sen
47%

Steve Hilton - Governador da Califórnia
50%

John Cornyn - Senado do Texas
17%
$111,064 Vol.

Susan Collins - Senado do ME
67%

Ken Paxton - Senado do TX
60%

Andy Barr - KY-Sen
47%

Steve Hilton - Governador da Califórnia
50%

John Cornyn - Senado do Texas
17%
If Donald Trump does not announce an endorsement by the day before the scheduled election at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump or one of his representatives, or a consensus of credible reporting of Donald Trump's endorsement.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 12, 2025, 4:29 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...If Donald Trump does not announce an endorsement by the day before the scheduled election at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump or one of his representatives, or a consensus of credible reporting of Donald Trump's endorsement.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward endorsements for Susan Collins in Maine's Senate race (67%) and Ken Paxton challenging in Texas Senate (60%), amid competitive odds for other 2026 midterm contests like Andy Barr (Kentucky Senate, 46%) and Lindsey Graham (South Carolina Senate, leading at 100% per updates). Recent hesitation stems from late-March reports of Trump weighing Texas GOP primary runoff dynamics post-March 3 first round, where Paxton advanced against incumbent John Cornyn (21%) despite MAGA grassroots pressure and past Trump leanings toward Cornyn sparking backlash. No announcements in the last 30 days; upcoming Texas runoff (May 26) and April special elections (Georgia House runoff April 7 featuring Trump-backed Clay Fuller) may catalyze moves, as historical patterns show Trump's endorsements boosting GOP primary turnout in battlegrounds.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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