Trader consensus on Polymarket positions Anthropic as the frontrunner at 48% implied probability for the second-best AI model by end of June, propelled by Claude Opus 4.6's sustained dominance atop the LMSYS Chatbot Arena leaderboard since its February 5 release, excelling in coding, reasoning, and agentic tasks amid explosive enterprise adoption and app store surges. Google trails at 23.5% following Gemini 3.1 Pro's February 19 launch, which boosted efficiency and benchmarks but couldn't dethrone Claude, while OpenAI's GPT-5.4 from March 5 holds third at 14.5% with gains in professional workflows yet trailing in user-voted Elo scores. DeepSeek's anticipated V4 multimodal release adds intrigue at 8.4%, but three months remain for frontrunners' next iterations—like potential GPT-6 or Gemini 4—to potentially claim the top spot, solidifying Anthropic in second.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoQual empresa tem o segundo melhor modelo de IA no final de junho?
Qual empresa tem o segundo melhor modelo de IA no final de junho?
Anthropic 48%
Google 29%
OpenAI 14%
DeepSeek 8.4%
$331,934 Vol.
$331,934 Vol.

Anthropic
48%

24%

OpenAI
14%

DeepSeek
8%

xAI
6%

Meituan
1%

Alibaba
<1%

Mistral
<1%

Moonshot
<1%

Z.ai
<1%
Anthropic 48%
Google 29%
OpenAI 14%
DeepSeek 8.4%
$331,934 Vol.
$331,934 Vol.

Anthropic
48%

24%

OpenAI
14%

DeepSeek
8%

xAI
6%

Meituan
1%

Alibaba
<1%

Mistral
<1%

Moonshot
<1%

Z.ai
<1%
Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market.
If two models are tied for the second best arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g. if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No")
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Mercado Aberto: Oct 10, 2025, 5:27 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market.
If two models are tied for the second best arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g. if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No")
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket positions Anthropic as the frontrunner at 48% implied probability for the second-best AI model by end of June, propelled by Claude Opus 4.6's sustained dominance atop the LMSYS Chatbot Arena leaderboard since its February 5 release, excelling in coding, reasoning, and agentic tasks amid explosive enterprise adoption and app store surges. Google trails at 23.5% following Gemini 3.1 Pro's February 19 launch, which boosted efficiency and benchmarks but couldn't dethrone Claude, while OpenAI's GPT-5.4 from March 5 holds third at 14.5% with gains in professional workflows yet trailing in user-voted Elo scores. DeepSeek's anticipated V4 multimodal release adds intrigue at 8.4%, but three months remain for frontrunners' next iterations—like potential GPT-6 or Gemini 4—to potentially claim the top spot, solidifying Anthropic in second.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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