President Trump issued a stark 48-hour ultimatum to Iran on Truth Social April 4, warning that time is running out to strike a deal or reopen the Strait of Hormuz amid ongoing military operations and the search for a missing U.S. F-15 pilot downed over Iranian airspace. This escalates rhetoric following his April 1 address to the nation predicting the month-old conflict's resolution in 2-3 weeks and an April 3 Holy Week message ahead of Easter Sunday on April 5. With no public schedule announced for the week of April 5-11, traders focus on potential Truth Social posts, press remarks, or holiday addresses, where Trump's distinctive phrasing on foreign policy and military matters often emerges, shaping market consensus on specific mentions.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado$41,000 Vol.
Gay
4%
April Fool
3%
Unlimited Ammunition
8%
Delcy / Rodriguez
9%
Eight Boats / Eight Ships
11%
Hot as a pistol
2%
Dark cloud
8%
Divider
6%
Mine dropper
4%
Plastic Egg
2%
Caravan
5%
UFC
4%
Hamas / Hezbollah
14%
$41,000 Vol.
Gay
4%
April Fool
3%
Unlimited Ammunition
8%
Delcy / Rodriguez
9%
Eight Boats / Eight Ships
11%
Hot as a pistol
2%
Dark cloud
8%
Divider
6%
Mine dropper
4%
Plastic Egg
2%
Caravan
5%
UFC
4%
Hamas / Hezbollah
14%
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 27, 2026, 5:14 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...President Trump issued a stark 48-hour ultimatum to Iran on Truth Social April 4, warning that time is running out to strike a deal or reopen the Strait of Hormuz amid ongoing military operations and the search for a missing U.S. F-15 pilot downed over Iranian airspace. This escalates rhetoric following his April 1 address to the nation predicting the month-old conflict's resolution in 2-3 weeks and an April 3 Holy Week message ahead of Easter Sunday on April 5. With no public schedule announced for the week of April 5-11, traders focus on potential Truth Social posts, press remarks, or holiday addresses, where Trump's distinctive phrasing on foreign policy and military matters often emerges, shaping market consensus on specific mentions.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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