Incumbent Republican Gov. Phil Scott's sustained status as America's most popular governor, affirmed by a February 2026 Morning Consult poll marking his 14th consecutive top quarterly ranking, drives trader consensus pricing Republicans at 78% to retain Vermont's governorship in the November 3, 2026, general election. Despite no formal re-election announcement as of late March, a prior UNH survey showed majority Vermonter support for his return, reinforcing his moderate appeal in the deep-blue state where he has won multiple terms. The Democratic primary field opened modestly with one candidate entering March 10, while forecasters like Cook Political Report rate the race as safely Republican barring Scott's retirement. Upcoming primaries could shift dynamics if stronger challengers emerge.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoNEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
Republicano
78%
Democrata
18%
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
Republicano
$2,415 Vol.
78%
Democrata
$5,193 Vol.
18%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Vermont gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Gov. Phil Scott's sustained status as America's most popular governor, affirmed by a February 2026 Morning Consult poll marking his 14th consecutive top quarterly ranking, drives trader consensus pricing Republicans at 78% to retain Vermont's governorship in the November 3, 2026, general election. Despite no formal re-election announcement as of late March, a prior UNH survey showed majority Vermonter support for his return, reinforcing his moderate appeal in the deep-blue state where he has won multiple terms. The Democratic primary field opened modestly with one candidate entering March 10, while forecasters like Cook Political Report rate the race as safely Republican barring Scott's retirement. Upcoming primaries could shift dynamics if stronger challengers emerge.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Vermont gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercado Aberto: Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET
Volume
$7,607Data de Término
Nov 3, 2026Mercado Aberto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Vermont gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Gov. Phil Scott's sustained status as America's most popular governor, affirmed by a February 2026 Morning Consult poll marking his 14th consecutive top quarterly ranking, drives trader consensus pricing Republicans at 78% to retain Vermont's governorship in the November 3, 2026, general election. Despite no formal re-election announcement as of late March, a prior UNH survey showed majority Vermonter support for his return, reinforcing his moderate appeal in the deep-blue state where he has won multiple terms. The Democratic primary field opened modestly with one candidate entering March 10, while forecasters like Cook Political Report rate the race as safely Republican barring Scott's retirement. Upcoming primaries could shift dynamics if stronger challengers emerge.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Vermont gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$7,607Data de Término
Nov 3, 2026Mercado Aberto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Gov. Phil Scott's sustained status as America's most popular governor, affirmed by a February 2026 Morning Consult poll marking his 14th consecutive top quarterly ranking, drives trader consensus pricing Republicans at 78% to retain Vermont's governorship in the November 3, 2026, general election. Despite no formal re-election announcement as of late March, a prior UNH survey showed majority Vermonter support for his return, reinforcing his moderate appeal in the deep-blue state where he has won multiple terms. The Democratic primary field opened modestly with one candidate entering March 10, while forecasters like Cook Political Report rate the race as safely Republican barring Scott's retirement. Upcoming primaries could shift dynamics if stronger challengers emerge.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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