Redistricting by Texas Republicans has reshaped the 32nd congressional district into a solidly Republican seat, driving trader consensus toward the GOP nominee at 66.5 percent. Jace Yarbrough secured the Republican nomination after the March 3 primary and the subsequent runoff cancellation when his main challenger withdrew, positioning him for the November 3 general election against Democrat Dan Barrios. Cook Political Report rates the race Solid Republican, reflecting the district’s new partisan lean and structural advantages for the GOP candidate. Traders appear to weigh these map changes and primary outcomes as the dominant factors, with limited recent developments shifting the implied probability beyond the current spread.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoVencedor da eleição da casa TX-32
Vencedor da eleição da casa TX-32
$26,076 Vol.
$26,076 Vol.
4 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
68%
Partido Democrata
25%
$26,076 Vol.
$26,076 Vol.
4 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
$25,719 Vol.
68%
Partido Democrata
$357 Vol.
25%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-32 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting by Texas Republicans has reshaped the 32nd congressional district into a solidly Republican seat, driving trader consensus toward the GOP nominee at 66.5 percent. Jace Yarbrough secured the Republican nomination after the March 3 primary and the subsequent runoff cancellation when his main challenger withdrew, positioning him for the November 3 general election against Democrat Dan Barrios. Cook Political Report rates the race Solid Republican, reflecting the district’s new partisan lean and structural advantages for the GOP candidate. Traders appear to weigh these map changes and primary outcomes as the dominant factors, with limited recent developments shifting the implied probability beyond the current spread.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-32 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ET
Volume
$26,076Data de Término
4 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-32 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting by Texas Republicans has reshaped the 32nd congressional district into a solidly Republican seat, driving trader consensus toward the GOP nominee at 66.5 percent. Jace Yarbrough secured the Republican nomination after the March 3 primary and the subsequent runoff cancellation when his main challenger withdrew, positioning him for the November 3 general election against Democrat Dan Barrios. Cook Political Report rates the race Solid Republican, reflecting the district’s new partisan lean and structural advantages for the GOP candidate. Traders appear to weigh these map changes and primary outcomes as the dominant factors, with limited recent developments shifting the implied probability beyond the current spread.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-32 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$26,076Data de Término
4 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Redistricting by Texas Republicans has reshaped the 32nd congressional district into a solidly Republican seat, driving trader consensus toward the GOP nominee at 66.5 percent. Jace Yarbrough secured the Republican nomination after the March 3 primary and the subsequent runoff cancellation when his main challenger withdrew, positioning him for the November 3 general election against Democrat Dan Barrios. Cook Political Report rates the race Solid Republican, reflecting the district’s new partisan lean and structural advantages for the GOP candidate. Traders appear to weigh these map changes and primary outcomes as the dominant factors, with limited recent developments shifting the implied probability beyond the current spread.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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