Christian Menefee holds a dominant position in the TX-18 general election due to the district's long-standing Democratic lean and his consolidation of party support. After winning a special election runoff in January 2026 and defeating longtime incumbent Al Green by nearly 39 points in the May Democratic primary runoff, Menefee enters the November contest as the clear favorite in a seat rated Solid or Safe Democratic by major forecasters. Ronald Whitfield advanced as the Republican nominee but faces structural barriers in a Houston-area district that has favored Democrats by wide margins for decades. Trader consensus at 96.7% reflects this baseline, though late developments such as scandals, health events, or major turnout shifts could still alter the outcome before election day.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado$16,191 Vol.
$16,191 Vol.
4 nov 2026
Christian Menefee (D)
97%
Ronald Whitfield (R)
3%
$16,191 Vol.
$16,191 Vol.
4 nov 2026
Christian Menefee (D)
$14,477 Vol.
97%
Ronald Whitfield (R)
$1,714 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Christian Menefee holds a dominant position in the TX-18 general election due to the district's long-standing Democratic lean and his consolidation of party support. After winning a special election runoff in January 2026 and defeating longtime incumbent Al Green by nearly 39 points in the May Democratic primary runoff, Menefee enters the November contest as the clear favorite in a seat rated Solid or Safe Democratic by major forecasters. Ronald Whitfield advanced as the Republican nominee but faces structural barriers in a Houston-area district that has favored Democrats by wide margins for decades. Trader consensus at 96.7% reflects this baseline, though late developments such as scandals, health events, or major turnout shifts could still alter the outcome before election day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ET
Volume
$16,191Data de Término
5 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Christian Menefee holds a dominant position in the TX-18 general election due to the district's long-standing Democratic lean and his consolidation of party support. After winning a special election runoff in January 2026 and defeating longtime incumbent Al Green by nearly 39 points in the May Democratic primary runoff, Menefee enters the November contest as the clear favorite in a seat rated Solid or Safe Democratic by major forecasters. Ronald Whitfield advanced as the Republican nominee but faces structural barriers in a Houston-area district that has favored Democrats by wide margins for decades. Trader consensus at 96.7% reflects this baseline, though late developments such as scandals, health events, or major turnout shifts could still alter the outcome before election day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$16,191Data de Término
5 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Christian Menefee holds a dominant position in the TX-18 general election due to the district's long-standing Democratic lean and his consolidation of party support. After winning a special election runoff in January 2026 and defeating longtime incumbent Al Green by nearly 39 points in the May Democratic primary runoff, Menefee enters the November contest as the clear favorite in a seat rated Solid or Safe Democratic by major forecasters. Ronald Whitfield advanced as the Republican nominee but faces structural barriers in a Houston-area district that has favored Democrats by wide margins for decades. Trader consensus at 96.7% reflects this baseline, though late developments such as scandals, health events, or major turnout shifts could still alter the outcome before election day.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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