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Trump desiste da investigação de Powell por...?

Market icon

Trump desiste da investigação de Powell por...?

NEW
Jun 30, 2026
Polymarket

$2,824 Vol.

Polymarket

April 30

$1,567 Vol.

42%

30 de junho

$1,257 Vol.

52%

Federal prosecutors opened a criminal investigation into Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell over his congressional testimony in June 2025 about the renovation of the Central Bank’s headquarters (See: https://www.cnn.com/2026/01/11/business/federal-prosecutors-criminal-investigation-federal-reserve-chair-jerome-powell). This market will resolve to “Yes” if this criminal investigation into Jerome Powell is dropped by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The investigation will be considered to be dropped if it is definitively announced by the DoJ, Donald Trump, or other relevant members of the Trump Administration that the investigation is or will be ended without proceeding to any charges or indictment, or if the investigation is otherwise confirmed to have ended without charges by a broad consensus of credible reporting. Official statements from Donald Trump or other Trump Administration officials will only suffice to resolve this market to “Yes” if they definitively indicate that the investigation is or will be ended without proceeding to any charges or indictment. Suggestions, informal statements, statements that there will be no charges for now, or other statements that do not meet this standard will not alone qualify. If the United States federal government formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of Jerome Powell as a result of this investigation, within this market’s timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States Federal Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.A federal judge quashed Department of Justice subpoenas targeting Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell on March 13 over an investigation into a $2.5 billion Fed headquarters renovation, prompting DOJ to appeal while the Fed urged upholding the block as recently as March 26. President Trump has defended the probe, praising officials for their "courage" and refusing to drop it despite backlash that it pressures Powell—who vows to retain his Fed board seat until resolved—to cut interest rates faster, stalling Senate confirmation of nominee Kevin Warsh ahead of Powell's May term end as chair. Traders weigh ongoing legal battles, institutional independence norms, and political pressures amid historical tensions between the executive branch and the Federal Reserve.

A federal judge quashed Department of Justice subpoenas targeting Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell on March 13 over an investigation into a $2.5 billion Fed headquarters renovation, prompting DOJ to appeal while the Fed urged upholding the block as recently as March 26. President Trump has defended the probe, praising officials for their "courage" and refusing to drop it despite backlash that it pressures Powell—who vows to retain his Fed board seat until resolved—to cut interest rates faster, stalling Senate confirmation of nominee Kevin Warsh ahead of Powell's May term end as chair. Traders weigh ongoing legal battles, institutional independence norms, and political pressures amid historical tensions between the executive branch and the Federal Reserve.

Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
Federal prosecutors opened a criminal investigation into Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell over his congressional testimony in June 2025 about the renovation of the Central Bank’s headquarters (See: https://www.cnn.com/2026/01/11/business/federal-prosecutors-criminal-investigation-federal-reserve-chair-jerome-powell). This market will resolve to “Yes” if this criminal investigation into Jerome Powell is dropped by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The investigation will be considered to be dropped if it is definitively announced by the DoJ, Donald Trump, or other relevant members of the Trump Administration that the investigation is or will be ended without proceeding to any charges or indictment, or if the investigation is otherwise confirmed to have ended without charges by a broad consensus of credible reporting. Official statements from Donald Trump or other Trump Administration officials will only suffice to resolve this market to “Yes” if they definitively indicate that the investigation is or will be ended without proceeding to any charges or indictment. Suggestions, informal statements, statements that there will be no charges for now, or other statements that do not meet this standard will not alone qualify. If the United States federal government formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of Jerome Powell as a result of this investigation, within this market’s timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States Federal Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.A federal judge quashed Department of Justice subpoenas targeting Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell on March 13 over an investigation into a $2.5 billion Fed headquarters renovation, prompting DOJ to appeal while the Fed urged upholding the block as recently as March 26. President Trump has defended the probe, praising officials for their "courage" and refusing to drop it despite backlash that it pressures Powell—who vows to retain his Fed board seat until resolved—to cut interest rates faster, stalling Senate confirmation of nominee Kevin Warsh ahead of Powell's May term end as chair. Traders weigh ongoing legal battles, institutional independence norms, and political pressures amid historical tensions between the executive branch and the Federal Reserve.

A federal judge quashed Department of Justice subpoenas targeting Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell on March 13 over an investigation into a $2.5 billion Fed headquarters renovation, prompting DOJ to appeal while the Fed urged upholding the block as recently as March 26. President Trump has defended the probe, praising officials for their "courage" and refusing to drop it despite backlash that it pressures Powell—who vows to retain his Fed board seat until resolved—to cut interest rates faster, stalling Senate confirmation of nominee Kevin Warsh ahead of Powell's May term end as chair. Traders weigh ongoing legal battles, institutional independence norms, and political pressures amid historical tensions between the executive branch and the Federal Reserve.

Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Trump desiste da investigação de Powell por...?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "30 de junho" at 52%, followed by "April 30" at 42%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 52¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 52% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Trump desiste da investigação de Powell por...?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Mar 27, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Trump desiste da investigação de Powell por...?," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Trump desiste da investigação de Powell por...?" is "30 de junho" at 52%, meaning the market assigns a 52% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "April 30" at 42%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Trump desiste da investigação de Powell por...?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.