A federal judge quashed Department of Justice subpoenas targeting Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell on March 13 over an investigation into a $2.5 billion Fed headquarters renovation, prompting DOJ to appeal while the Fed urged upholding the block as recently as March 26. President Trump has defended the probe, praising officials for their "courage" and refusing to drop it despite backlash that it pressures Powell—who vows to retain his Fed board seat until resolved—to cut interest rates faster, stalling Senate confirmation of nominee Kevin Warsh ahead of Powell's May term end as chair. Traders weigh ongoing legal battles, institutional independence norms, and political pressures amid historical tensions between the executive branch and the Federal Reserve.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoTrump desiste da investigação de Powell por...?
Trump desiste da investigação de Powell por...?
April 30
42%
30 de junho
52%
$2,824 Vol.
April 30
42%
30 de junho
52%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if this criminal investigation into Jerome Powell is dropped by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The investigation will be considered to be dropped if it is definitively announced by the DoJ, Donald Trump, or other relevant members of the Trump Administration that the investigation is or will be ended without proceeding to any charges or indictment, or if the investigation is otherwise confirmed to have ended without charges by a broad consensus of credible reporting.
Official statements from Donald Trump or other Trump Administration officials will only suffice to resolve this market to “Yes” if they definitively indicate that the investigation is or will be ended without proceeding to any charges or indictment. Suggestions, informal statements, statements that there will be no charges for now, or other statements that do not meet this standard will not alone qualify.
If the United States federal government formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of Jerome Powell as a result of this investigation, within this market’s timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States Federal Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 26, 2026, 7:53 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if this criminal investigation into Jerome Powell is dropped by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The investigation will be considered to be dropped if it is definitively announced by the DoJ, Donald Trump, or other relevant members of the Trump Administration that the investigation is or will be ended without proceeding to any charges or indictment, or if the investigation is otherwise confirmed to have ended without charges by a broad consensus of credible reporting.
Official statements from Donald Trump or other Trump Administration officials will only suffice to resolve this market to “Yes” if they definitively indicate that the investigation is or will be ended without proceeding to any charges or indictment. Suggestions, informal statements, statements that there will be no charges for now, or other statements that do not meet this standard will not alone qualify.
If the United States federal government formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of Jerome Powell as a result of this investigation, within this market’s timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States Federal Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...A federal judge quashed Department of Justice subpoenas targeting Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell on March 13 over an investigation into a $2.5 billion Fed headquarters renovation, prompting DOJ to appeal while the Fed urged upholding the block as recently as March 26. President Trump has defended the probe, praising officials for their "courage" and refusing to drop it despite backlash that it pressures Powell—who vows to retain his Fed board seat until resolved—to cut interest rates faster, stalling Senate confirmation of nominee Kevin Warsh ahead of Powell's May term end as chair. Traders weigh ongoing legal battles, institutional independence norms, and political pressures amid historical tensions between the executive branch and the Federal Reserve.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions