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Tecnologia·OpenAI

Sam Altman na prisão por...?

Market icon
Tecnologia·OpenAI

Sam Altman na prisão por...?

$42,101 Vol.

31 dez 2025
Polymarket

$42,101 Vol.

Polymarket

30 de junho de 2026

$15,755 Vol.

3%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sam Altman serves any time in a federal, state, or local U.S. jail or prison by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader sentiment on Sam Altman facing jail remains overwhelmingly skeptical, driven by the absence of any credible criminal investigations or charges against the OpenAI CEO amid heightened AI backlash. Recent attacks on his San Francisco home—including a Molotov cocktail thrown by Daniel Moreno-Gama, now federally charged with attempted murder and arson after an anti-AI manifesto surfaced, plus a separate shooting nearby—underscore personal risks from critics but pose no legal jeopardy to Altman himself. His sister's amended civil lawsuit alleging decades-old sexual abuse (filed January 2025) faces dismissal motions and defamation countersuit, with family citing her mental health challenges; Elon Musk's ongoing OpenAI lawsuit seeks Altman's ouster but remains civil. No DOJ, FTC, or SEC criminal probes target him, though traders watch AI regulatory hearings and court dates in May for potential shifts.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sam Altman serves any time in a federal, state, or local U.S. jail or prison by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$42,101
Data de Término
31 dez 2025
Mercado Aberto
Nov 6, 2025, 7:42 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sam Altman serves any time in a federal, state, or local U.S. jail or prison by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sam Altman serves any time in a federal, state, or local U.S. jail or prison by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader sentiment on Sam Altman facing jail remains overwhelmingly skeptical, driven by the absence of any credible criminal investigations or charges against the OpenAI CEO amid heightened AI backlash. Recent attacks on his San Francisco home—including a Molotov cocktail thrown by Daniel Moreno-Gama, now federally charged with attempted murder and arson after an anti-AI manifesto surfaced, plus a separate shooting nearby—underscore personal risks from critics but pose no legal jeopardy to Altman himself. His sister's amended civil lawsuit alleging decades-old sexual abuse (filed January 2025) faces dismissal motions and defamation countersuit, with family citing her mental health challenges; Elon Musk's ongoing OpenAI lawsuit seeks Altman's ouster but remains civil. No DOJ, FTC, or SEC criminal probes target him, though traders watch AI regulatory hearings and court dates in May for potential shifts.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sam Altman serves any time in a federal, state, or local U.S. jail or prison by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$42,101
Data de Término
31 dez 2025
Mercado Aberto
Nov 6, 2025, 7:42 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sam Altman serves any time in a federal, state, or local U.S. jail or prison by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Sam Altman na prisão por...?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "30 de junho de 2026" at 3%, followed by "31 de dezembro de 2025" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 3¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 3% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Sam Altman na prisão por...?" has generated $42.1K in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 7, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Sam Altman na prisão por...?," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

This is a wide-open market. The current leader for "Sam Altman na prisão por...?" is "30 de junho de 2026" at just 3%, with "31 de dezembro de 2025" close behind at 0%. With no outcome commanding a strong majority, traders see this as highly uncertain, which can present unique trading opportunities. These odds update in real-time, so bookmark this page to watch how the probabilities evolve.

The resolution rules for "Sam Altman na prisão por...?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.