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A pessoa mais rica em 31 de dezembro de 2026?

Market icon

A pessoa mais rica em 31 de dezembro de 2026?

Mar 31

Dec 31

Mar 31

Dec 31

Elon Musk 89%

Jeff Bezos 2.9%

Jensen Huang 1.9%

Larry Page 1.4%

Polymarket

$1,300,603 Vol.

Elon Musk 89%

Jeff Bezos 2.9%

Jensen Huang 1.9%

Larry Page 1.4%

Polymarket

$1,300,603 Vol.

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Elon Musk

$106,925 Vol.

89%

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Jeff Bezos

$292,344 Vol.

3%

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Jensen Huang

$116,634 Vol.

2%

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Larry Page

$114,419 Vol.

1%

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Warren Buffett

$45,353 Vol.

1%

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Steve Ballmer

$234,278 Vol.

1%

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Mark Zuckerberg

$110,225 Vol.

1%

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Sergey Brin

$20,019 Vol.

1%

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Bernard Arnault

$224,805 Vol.

1%

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Larry Ellison

$35,602 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve according to the name ranked #1 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.Trader consensus heavily favors Elon Musk as the frontrunner at 88.5% implied probability to remain the world's richest person by December 31, 2026, driven by his record $839 billion net worth from Forbes' March 2026 Billionaires List—over three times that of second-place Larry Page ($257 billion). This dominance stems from Tesla's robust stock performance and SpaceX's valuation soaring to $1 trillion following its blockbuster February merger with xAI, catapulting Musk past $800 billion earlier this year. Jeff Bezos (2.9%) holds steady via Amazon stability, while Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang (1.8%) gains AI-fueled momentum but trails far behind. With nine months until resolution, volatility in tech stocks or a SpaceX IPO could solidify or challenge the lead, underscoring prediction markets' wisdom-of-crowds edge.

Trader consensus heavily favors Elon Musk as the frontrunner at 88.5% implied probability to remain the world's richest person by December 31, 2026, driven by his record $839 billion net worth from Forbes' March 2026 Billionaires List—over three times that of second-place Larry Page ($257 billion). This dominance stems from Tesla's robust stock performance and SpaceX's valuation soaring to $1 trillion following its blockbuster February merger with xAI, catapulting Musk past $800 billion earlier this year. Jeff Bezos (2.9%) holds steady via Amazon stability, while Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang (1.8%) gains AI-fueled momentum but trails far behind. With nine months until resolution, volatility in tech stocks or a SpaceX IPO could solidify or challenge the lead, underscoring prediction markets' wisdom-of-crowds edge.

Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
This market will resolve according to the name ranked #1 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.Trader consensus heavily favors Elon Musk as the frontrunner at 88.5% implied probability to remain the world's richest person by December 31, 2026, driven by his record $839 billion net worth from Forbes' March 2026 Billionaires List—over three times that of second-place Larry Page ($257 billion). This dominance stems from Tesla's robust stock performance and SpaceX's valuation soaring to $1 trillion following its blockbuster February merger with xAI, catapulting Musk past $800 billion earlier this year. Jeff Bezos (2.9%) holds steady via Amazon stability, while Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang (1.8%) gains AI-fueled momentum but trails far behind. With nine months until resolution, volatility in tech stocks or a SpaceX IPO could solidify or challenge the lead, underscoring prediction markets' wisdom-of-crowds edge.

Trader consensus heavily favors Elon Musk as the frontrunner at 88.5% implied probability to remain the world's richest person by December 31, 2026, driven by his record $839 billion net worth from Forbes' March 2026 Billionaires List—over three times that of second-place Larry Page ($257 billion). This dominance stems from Tesla's robust stock performance and SpaceX's valuation soaring to $1 trillion following its blockbuster February merger with xAI, catapulting Musk past $800 billion earlier this year. Jeff Bezos (2.9%) holds steady via Amazon stability, while Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang (1.8%) gains AI-fueled momentum but trails far behind. With nine months until resolution, volatility in tech stocks or a SpaceX IPO could solidify or challenge the lead, underscoring prediction markets' wisdom-of-crowds edge.

Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"A pessoa mais rica em 31 de dezembro de 2026?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 10 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Elon Musk" at 89%, followed by "Jeff Bezos" at 3%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 89¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 89% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "A pessoa mais rica em 31 de dezembro de 2026?" has generated $1.3 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 12, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "A pessoa mais rica em 31 de dezembro de 2026?," browse the 10 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "A pessoa mais rica em 31 de dezembro de 2026?" is "Elon Musk" at 89%, meaning the market assigns a 89% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Jeff Bezos" at 3%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "A pessoa mais rica em 31 de dezembro de 2026?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.