Trader consensus heavily favors a Democratic victory in Rhode Island's November 3 gubernatorial election at 93.5%, driven by the state's unbroken Democratic hold on the office since Donald Carcieri's 2010 departure and Solid Democratic ratings from Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and Inside Elections. No general election polls exist, but early Democratic primary surveys show incumbent Dan McKee trailing Helena Foulkes (e.g., 24%-35% Foulkes vs. 15%-19% McKee through March), reflecting McKee's 18% approval amid economic concerns—yet internal primary competition does not erode the party's general election dominance given lopsided voter registration and turnout patterns. A fragmented Republican field (Aaron Guckian, Elaine Pelino, Robert Raimondo) and independent Ken Block's April 2 announcement pose minimal threats. Upsets would demand a Democratic nominee scandal, unexpected GOP heavyweight recruitment before June 24 filing deadline, or broader national Republican surge.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado$44,027 Vol.
$44,027 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Democrat
94%
Republican
5%
$44,027 Vol.
$44,027 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Democrat
$39,854 Vol.
94%
Republican
$4,172 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Rhode Island gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Trader consensus heavily favors a Democratic victory in Rhode Island's November 3 gubernatorial election at 93.5%, driven by the state's unbroken Democratic hold on the office since Donald Carcieri's 2010 departure and Solid Democratic ratings from Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and Inside Elections. No general election polls exist, but early Democratic primary surveys show incumbent Dan McKee trailing Helena Foulkes (e.g., 24%-35% Foulkes vs. 15%-19% McKee through March), reflecting McKee's 18% approval amid economic concerns—yet internal primary competition does not erode the party's general election dominance given lopsided voter registration and turnout patterns. A fragmented Republican field (Aaron Guckian, Elaine Pelino, Robert Raimondo) and independent Ken Block's April 2 announcement pose minimal threats. Upsets would demand a Democratic nominee scandal, unexpected GOP heavyweight recruitment before June 24 filing deadline, or broader national Republican surge.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Rhode Island gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercado Aberto: Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET
Volume
$44,027Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Rhode Island gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Trader consensus heavily favors a Democratic victory in Rhode Island's November 3 gubernatorial election at 93.5%, driven by the state's unbroken Democratic hold on the office since Donald Carcieri's 2010 departure and Solid Democratic ratings from Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and Inside Elections. No general election polls exist, but early Democratic primary surveys show incumbent Dan McKee trailing Helena Foulkes (e.g., 24%-35% Foulkes vs. 15%-19% McKee through March), reflecting McKee's 18% approval amid economic concerns—yet internal primary competition does not erode the party's general election dominance given lopsided voter registration and turnout patterns. A fragmented Republican field (Aaron Guckian, Elaine Pelino, Robert Raimondo) and independent Ken Block's April 2 announcement pose minimal threats. Upsets would demand a Democratic nominee scandal, unexpected GOP heavyweight recruitment before June 24 filing deadline, or broader national Republican surge.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Rhode Island gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$44,027Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors a Democratic victory in Rhode Island's November 3 gubernatorial election at 93.5%, driven by the state's unbroken Democratic hold on the office since Donald Carcieri's 2010 departure and Solid Democratic ratings from Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and Inside Elections. No general election polls exist, but early Democratic primary surveys show incumbent Dan McKee trailing Helena Foulkes (e.g., 24%-35% Foulkes vs. 15%-19% McKee through March), reflecting McKee's 18% approval amid economic concerns—yet internal primary competition does not erode the party's general election dominance given lopsided voter registration and turnout patterns. A fragmented Republican field (Aaron Guckian, Elaine Pelino, Robert Raimondo) and independent Ken Block's April 2 announcement pose minimal threats. Upsets would demand a Democratic nominee scandal, unexpected GOP heavyweight recruitment before June 24 filing deadline, or broader national Republican surge.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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