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Política·Derivativos

Odds of US x Venezuela military engagement in 2025 on Monday?

Market icon
Política·Derivativos

Odds of US x Venezuela military engagement in 2025 on Monday?

$110,308 Vol.

Dec 1, 2025
Polymarket

$110,308 Vol.

Polymarket

>30%

$56,203 Vol.

Yes

>50%

$45,234 Vol.

No

>70%

$8,871 Vol.

No

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the “Yes” option for the market ‘US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?’ (https://polymarket.com/event/us-x-venezuela-military-engagement-by) is priced over the listed value for a majority of minutes during the 4-hour period between 10:00 AM and 1:59 PM ET on December 1, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A tie in the number of minutes will resolve to "No". If the underlying market resolves prior to this market, this market will immediately resolve in accordance with the underlying market’s final outcome. The resolution source will be the underlying minute-level price data for the “US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?” market, which can be viewed using the bar chart on https://federivative.polymarket.com/index/odds-of-us-x-venezuela-military-engagement-in-2025-on-monday-over-30 or through the “Resolution” tab with the time set to show the 4-hour window. This will display the 4-hour scoring window and the minute-level comparisons. Both interfaces display the same underlying data. Note: This market will resolve according to the price scoring methodology of derivative.polymarket.com.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the “Yes” option for the market ‘US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?’ (https://polymarket.com/event/us-x-venezuela-military-engagement-by) is priced over the listed value for a majority of minutes during the 4-hour period between 10:00 AM and 1:59 PM ET on December 1, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A tie in the number of minutes will resolve to "No". If the underlying market resolves prior to this market, this market will immediately resolve in accordance with the underlying market’s final outcome. The resolution source will be the underlying minute-level price data for the “US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?” market, which can be viewed using the bar chart on https://federivative.polymarket.com/index/odds-of-us-x-venezuela-military-engagement-in-2025-on-monday-over-50 or through the “Resolution” tab with the time set to show the 4-hour window. This will display the 4-hour scoring window and the minute-level comparisons. Both interfaces display the same underlying data. Note: This market will resolve according to the price scoring methodology of derivative.polymarket.com.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the “Yes” option for the market ‘US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?’ (https://polymarket.com/event/us-x-venezuela-military-engagement-by) is priced over the listed value for a majority of minutes during the 4-hour period between 10:00 AM and 1:59 PM ET on December 1, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A tie in the number of minutes will resolve to "No". If the underlying market resolves prior to this market, this market will immediately resolve in accordance with the underlying market’s final outcome. The resolution source will be the underlying minute-level price data for the “US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?” market, which can be viewed using the bar chart on https://federivative.polymarket.com/index/odds-of-us-x-venezuela-military-engagement-in-2025-on-monday-over-70 or through the “Resolution” tab with the time set to show the 4-hour window. This will display the 4-hour scoring window and the minute-level comparisons. Both interfaces display the same underlying data. Note: This market will resolve according to the price scoring methodology of derivative.polymarket.com.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the “Yes” option for the market ‘US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?’ (https://polymarket.com/event/us-x-venezuela-military-engagement-by) is priced over the listed value for a majority of minutes during the 4-hour period between 10:00 AM and 1:59 PM ET on December 1, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

A tie in the number of minutes will resolve to "No".

If the underlying market resolves prior to this market, this market will immediately resolve in accordance with the underlying market’s final outcome.

The resolution source will be the underlying minute-level price data for the “US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?” market, which can be viewed using the bar chart on https://federivative.polymarket.com/index/odds-of-us-x-venezuela-military-engagement-in-2025-on-monday-over-30
or through the “Resolution” tab with the time set to show the 4-hour window. This will display the 4-hour scoring window and the minute-level comparisons. Both interfaces display the same underlying data.

Note: This market will resolve according to the price scoring methodology of derivative.polymarket.com.
Volume
$110,308
Data de Término
Dec 1, 2025
Mercado Aberto
Nov 29, 2025, 11:45 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://federivative.polymarket.com/index/odds-of-us-x-venezuela-military-engagement-in-2025-on-monday-over-30

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the “Yes” option for the market ‘US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?’ (https://polymarket.com/event/us-x-venezuela-military-engagement-by) is priced over the listed value for a majority of minutes during the 4-hour period between 10:00 AM and 1:59 PM ET on December 1, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A tie in the number of minutes will resolve to "No". If the underlying market resolves prior to this market, this market will immediately resolve in accordance with the underlying market’s final outcome. The resolution source will be the underlying minute-level price data for the “US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?” market, which can be viewed using the bar chart on https://federivative.polymarket.com/index/odds-of-us-x-venezuela-military-engagement-in-2025-on-monday-over-30 or through the “Resolution” tab with the time set to show the 4-hour window. This will display the 4-hour scoring window and the minute-level comparisons. Both interfaces display the same underlying data. Note: This market will resolve according to the price scoring methodology of derivative.polymarket.com.

Resultado proposto: Yes

Sem contestação

Resultado final: Yes

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the “Yes” option for the market ‘US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?’ (https://polymarket.com/event/us-x-venezuela-military-engagement-by) is priced over the listed value for a majority of minutes during the 4-hour period between 10:00 AM and 1:59 PM ET on December 1, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A tie in the number of minutes will resolve to "No". If the underlying market resolves prior to this market, this market will immediately resolve in accordance with the underlying market’s final outcome. The resolution source will be the underlying minute-level price data for the “US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?” market, which can be viewed using the bar chart on https://federivative.polymarket.com/index/odds-of-us-x-venezuela-military-engagement-in-2025-on-monday-over-30 or through the “Resolution” tab with the time set to show the 4-hour window. This will display the 4-hour scoring window and the minute-level comparisons. Both interfaces display the same underlying data. Note: This market will resolve according to the price scoring methodology of derivative.polymarket.com.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the “Yes” option for the market ‘US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?’ (https://polymarket.com/event/us-x-venezuela-military-engagement-by) is priced over the listed value for a majority of minutes during the 4-hour period between 10:00 AM and 1:59 PM ET on December 1, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A tie in the number of minutes will resolve to "No". If the underlying market resolves prior to this market, this market will immediately resolve in accordance with the underlying market’s final outcome. The resolution source will be the underlying minute-level price data for the “US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?” market, which can be viewed using the bar chart on https://federivative.polymarket.com/index/odds-of-us-x-venezuela-military-engagement-in-2025-on-monday-over-50 or through the “Resolution” tab with the time set to show the 4-hour window. This will display the 4-hour scoring window and the minute-level comparisons. Both interfaces display the same underlying data. Note: This market will resolve according to the price scoring methodology of derivative.polymarket.com.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the “Yes” option for the market ‘US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?’ (https://polymarket.com/event/us-x-venezuela-military-engagement-by) is priced over the listed value for a majority of minutes during the 4-hour period between 10:00 AM and 1:59 PM ET on December 1, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A tie in the number of minutes will resolve to "No". If the underlying market resolves prior to this market, this market will immediately resolve in accordance with the underlying market’s final outcome. The resolution source will be the underlying minute-level price data for the “US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?” market, which can be viewed using the bar chart on https://federivative.polymarket.com/index/odds-of-us-x-venezuela-military-engagement-in-2025-on-monday-over-70 or through the “Resolution” tab with the time set to show the 4-hour window. This will display the 4-hour scoring window and the minute-level comparisons. Both interfaces display the same underlying data. Note: This market will resolve according to the price scoring methodology of derivative.polymarket.com.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Odds of US x Venezuela military engagement in 2025 on Monday?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 3 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is ">30%" at 100%, followed by ">50%" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Odds of US x Venezuela military engagement in 2025 on Monday?" has generated $110.3K in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 30, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Odds of US x Venezuela military engagement in 2025 on Monday?," browse the 3 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Odds of US x Venezuela military engagement in 2025 on Monday?" is ">30%" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is ">50%" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Odds of US x Venezuela military engagement in 2025 on Monday?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.