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Number of US Flights Delayed March 26?

Market icon

Number of US Flights Delayed March 26?

>6,000 100.0%

<3,000 <1%

3,000-3,500 <1%

3,500-4,000 <1%

Polymarket

$12,297 Vol.

>6,000 100.0%

<3,000 <1%

3,000-3,500 <1%

3,500-4,000 <1%

Polymarket

$12,297 Vol.

<3,000

$1,800 Vol.

No

3,000-3,500

$1,049 Vol.

No

3,500-4,000

$1,399 Vol.

No

4,000-4,500

$2,980 Vol.

No

4,500-5,000

$1,776 Vol.

No

5,000-5,500

$945 Vol.

No

5,500-6,000

$879 Vol.

No

>6,000

$1,468 Vol.

Yes

This market will resolve based on the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after March 26, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly prices over 6,000 US flight delays on March 26 at 100%, driven by real-time FAA data showing the threshold already exceeded early in the day amid severe weather disruptions. Widespread thunderstorms and high winds across key hubs like Chicago O'Hare, Dallas-Fort Worth, and Atlanta triggered ground delay programs, impacting thousands of flights during peak spring break travel volume. FlightAware and DOT reports confirm over 5,000 delays by midday, with cancellations compounding the total. This commanding position reflects skin-in-the-game assessments of minimal recovery time remaining. Scenarios that could challenge it include rapid weather dissipation or post-day data revisions reclassifying delays, though FAA historical patterns make these improbable.

Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly prices over 6,000 US flight delays on March 26 at 100%, driven by real-time FAA data showing the threshold already exceeded early in the day amid severe weather disruptions. Widespread thunderstorms and high winds across key hubs like Chicago O'Hare, Dallas-Fort Worth, and Atlanta triggered ground delay programs, impacting thousands of flights during peak spring break travel volume. FlightAware and DOT reports confirm over 5,000 delays by midday, with cancellations compounding the total. This commanding position reflects skin-in-the-game assessments of minimal recovery time remaining. Scenarios that could challenge it include rapid weather dissipation or post-day data revisions reclassifying delays, though FAA historical patterns make these improbable.

Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
This market will resolve based on the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after March 26, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly prices over 6,000 US flight delays on March 26 at 100%, driven by real-time FAA data showing the threshold already exceeded early in the day amid severe weather disruptions. Widespread thunderstorms and high winds across key hubs like Chicago O'Hare, Dallas-Fort Worth, and Atlanta triggered ground delay programs, impacting thousands of flights during peak spring break travel volume. FlightAware and DOT reports confirm over 5,000 delays by midday, with cancellations compounding the total. This commanding position reflects skin-in-the-game assessments of minimal recovery time remaining. Scenarios that could challenge it include rapid weather dissipation or post-day data revisions reclassifying delays, though FAA historical patterns make these improbable.

Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly prices over 6,000 US flight delays on March 26 at 100%, driven by real-time FAA data showing the threshold already exceeded early in the day amid severe weather disruptions. Widespread thunderstorms and high winds across key hubs like Chicago O'Hare, Dallas-Fort Worth, and Atlanta triggered ground delay programs, impacting thousands of flights during peak spring break travel volume. FlightAware and DOT reports confirm over 5,000 delays by midday, with cancellations compounding the total. This commanding position reflects skin-in-the-game assessments of minimal recovery time remaining. Scenarios that could challenge it include rapid weather dissipation or post-day data revisions reclassifying delays, though FAA historical patterns make these improbable.

Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Number of US Flights Delayed March 26?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 8 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is ">6,000" at 100%, followed by "<3,000" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Number of US Flights Delayed March 26?" has generated $12.3K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 25, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Number of US Flights Delayed March 26?," browse the 8 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Number of US Flights Delayed March 26?" is ">6,000" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "<3,000" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Number of US Flights Delayed March 26?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.