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Musk como CEO da Tesla antes de 2027?

Market icon

Musk como CEO da Tesla antes de 2027?

dez 31

dez 31

Sim

9% chance
Polymarket

$11,830 Vol.

Sim

9% chance
Polymarket

$11,830 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk ceases to be CEO of Tesla for any length of time between November 11, 2025, and December 31, 2026 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement of Elon Musk's resignation/firing before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/firing goes into effect. This market's primary resolution source will be official information from Tesla and/or Elon Musk, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a 91.5% implied probability that Elon Musk remains Tesla CEO through 2026, driven by his entrenched control via supermajority shareholder support—including a reaffirmed multibillion-dollar pay package—and repeated public commitments to lead for at least five more years amid the company's pivot to full self-driving (FSD) software and robotaxi deployment. Tesla's board, chaired by loyalist Robyn Denholm, has quashed replacement rumors, emphasizing Musk's irreplaceable role in advancing AI capabilities like Optimus robotics and autonomous vehicle milestones despite recent sales slumps and executive departures. While regulatory scrutiny from the SEC and distractions from xAI or SpaceX could intensify pressure, no credible developments signal an imminent exit before 2027.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk ceases to be CEO of Tesla for any length of time between November 11, 2025, and December 31, 2026 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

An announcement of Elon Musk's resignation/firing before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/firing goes into effect.

This market's primary resolution source will be official information from Tesla and/or Elon Musk, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$11,830
Data de Término
31 dez 2026
Mercado Aberto
Nov 12, 2025, 4:31 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk ceases to be CEO of Tesla for any length of time between November 11, 2025, and December 31, 2026 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement of Elon Musk's resignation/firing before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/firing goes into effect. This market's primary resolution source will be official information from Tesla and/or Elon Musk, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk ceases to be CEO of Tesla for any length of time between November 11, 2025, and December 31, 2026 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement of Elon Musk's resignation/firing before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/firing goes into effect. This market's primary resolution source will be official information from Tesla and/or Elon Musk, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a 91.5% implied probability that Elon Musk remains Tesla CEO through 2026, driven by his entrenched control via supermajority shareholder support—including a reaffirmed multibillion-dollar pay package—and repeated public commitments to lead for at least five more years amid the company's pivot to full self-driving (FSD) software and robotaxi deployment. Tesla's board, chaired by loyalist Robyn Denholm, has quashed replacement rumors, emphasizing Musk's irreplaceable role in advancing AI capabilities like Optimus robotics and autonomous vehicle milestones despite recent sales slumps and executive departures. While regulatory scrutiny from the SEC and distractions from xAI or SpaceX could intensify pressure, no credible developments signal an imminent exit before 2027.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk ceases to be CEO of Tesla for any length of time between November 11, 2025, and December 31, 2026 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

An announcement of Elon Musk's resignation/firing before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/firing goes into effect.

This market's primary resolution source will be official information from Tesla and/or Elon Musk, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$11,830
Data de Término
31 dez 2026
Mercado Aberto
Nov 12, 2025, 4:31 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk ceases to be CEO of Tesla for any length of time between November 11, 2025, and December 31, 2026 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement of Elon Musk's resignation/firing before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/firing goes into effect. This market's primary resolution source will be official information from Tesla and/or Elon Musk, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Musk como CEO da Tesla antes de 2027?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Musk deixará o cargo de CEO da Tesla antes de 2027?" at 9%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 9¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 9% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Musk como CEO da Tesla antes de 2027?" has generated $11.8K in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 12, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Musk como CEO da Tesla antes de 2027?," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

This is a wide-open market. The current leader for "Musk como CEO da Tesla antes de 2027?" is "Musk deixará o cargo de CEO da Tesla antes de 2027?" at just 9%. With no outcome commanding a strong majority, traders see this as highly uncertain, which can present unique trading opportunities. These odds update in real-time, so bookmark this page to watch how the probabilities evolve.

The resolution rules for "Musk como CEO da Tesla antes de 2027?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.