Vencedor das primárias republicanas do Senado de Minnesota

Name: Vencedor das primárias republicanas do Senado de Minnesota
Start: 2025-12-02T20:34:37.396Z
End: 2026-08-11T00:00:00.000Z

Política·Primárias

Vencedor das primárias republicanas do Senado de Minnesota

Michele Tafoya 78%

Adam Schwarze 9.6%

Raymond Petersen 7.4%

Royce White 3.5%

$75,232 Vol.

Aug 11, 2026

Michele Tafoya

$1,485 Vol.

78%

Adam Schwarze

$4,897 Vol.

10%

Raymond Petersen

$1,096 Vol.

Royce White

$30,693 Vol.

Alycia Gruenhagen

$4,055 Vol.

Mike Ruoho

$848 Vol.

Christopher Brooks

$1,142 Vol.

David Hann

$21,460 Vol.

Jim Nash

$1,923 Vol.

Tom Weiler

$1,699 Vol.

Julia Coleman

$4,161 Vol.

<1%

Kristin Robbins

$1,772 Vol.

<1%

Michele Tafoya 78%

Adam Schwarze 9.6%

Raymond Petersen 7.4%

Royce White 3.5%

$75,232 Vol.

Aug 11, 2026

Michele Tafoya

$1,485 Vol.

78%

Adam Schwarze

$4,897 Vol.

10%

Raymond Petersen

$1,096 Vol.

Royce White

$30,693 Vol.

Alycia Gruenhagen

$4,055 Vol.

Mike Ruoho

$848 Vol.

Christopher Brooks

$1,142 Vol.

David Hann

$21,460 Vol.

Jim Nash

$1,923 Vol.

Tom Weiler

$1,699 Vol.

Julia Coleman

$4,161 Vol.

<1%

Kristin Robbins

$1,772 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Minnesota. If no 2026 Minnesota Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Minnesota Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Trader consensus heavily favors Michele Tafoya at 78% implied probability to win the Minnesota Republican U.S. Senate primary on August 13, propelled by her recent surge in internal polls, strong fundraising exceeding $1 million, and high name recognition from her ESPN broadcasting career, positioning her as the establishment frontrunner against incumbent Democrat Amy Klobuchar. Adam Schwarze at 9.4% and Raymond Petersen at 6.7% draw support from grassroots donors and local endorsements, reflecting trader bets on underdog momentum amid fragmented field dynamics. Royce White's 3.5% share has softened following Trump endorsement controversies and legal issues, while lower-tier candidates like Alycia Gruenhagen linger on niche appeals. Early voting data and final debates could shift odds before polls close.

Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado Mar 25, 2026, 12:44 PM UTC

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Vencedor das primárias republicanas do Senado de Minnesota" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 12 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Michele Tafoya" at 78%, followed by "Adam Schwarze" at 10%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 78¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 78% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Vencedor das primárias republicanas do Senado de Minnesota" has generated $75.2K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 2, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Vencedor das primárias republicanas do Senado de Minnesota," browse the 12 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Vencedor das primárias republicanas do Senado de Minnesota" is "Michele Tafoya" at 78%, meaning the market assigns a 78% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Adam Schwarze" at 10%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Vencedor das primárias republicanas do Senado de Minnesota" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.

Yes. You don't need to trade to stay informed. This page serves as a live tracker for "Vencedor das primárias republicanas do Senado de Minnesota." The outcome probabilities update in real-time as new trades come in. You can bookmark this page and check the comments section to see what other traders are saying. You can also use the time-range filters on the chart to see how the odds have shifted over time. It's a free, real-time window into what the market expects to happen.

Polymarket odds are set by real traders putting real money behind their beliefs, which tends to surface accurate predictions. With $75.2K traded on “Vencedor das primárias republicanas do Senado de Minnesota,” these prices aggregate the collective knowledge and conviction of thousands of participants — often outperforming polls, expert forecasts, and traditional surveys. Prediction markets like Polymarket have a strong track record of accuracy, especially as events approach their resolution date. For example, Polymarket has a one month accuracy score of 94%. For the latest stats on Polymarket’s prediction accuracy, visit the accuracy page on Polymarket.

To place your first trade on "Vencedor das primárias republicanas do Senado de Minnesota," sign up for a free Polymarket account and fund it using crypto, a credit or debit card, or a bank transfer. Once your account is funded, return to this page, select the outcome you want to trade, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If you're new to prediction markets, click the "How it works" link at the top of any Polymarket page for a quick step-by-step walkthrough of how trading works.

On Polymarket, the price of each outcome represents the market's implied probability. A price of 78¢ for "Michele Tafoya" in the "Vencedor das primárias republicanas do Senado de Minnesota" market means traders collectively believe there is roughly a 78% chance that "Michele Tafoya" will be the correct result. If you buy "Yes" shares at 78¢ and the outcome is correct, you receive $1.00 per share — a profit of 22¢ per share. If incorrect, those shares are worth $0.

The "Vencedor das primárias republicanas do Senado de Minnesota" market is scheduled to resolve on or around Aug 11, 2026. This means trading will remain open and the odds will continue to shift as new information emerges until that date. The exact resolution timing depends on when the official result becomes available, as outlined in the "Rules" section on this page.

The "Vencedor das primárias republicanas do Senado de Minnesota" market was recently created. Be one of the first to share your analysis by posting a comment below, or check back as the market grows to read what other traders think. You can also view the "Activity" tab for a real-time feed of recent trades.

Polymarket is the world's largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge of real-world events. Traders buy and sell shares on outcomes for topics ranging from politics and elections to crypto, finance, sports, tech, and culture, including markets like "Vencedor das primárias republicanas do Senado de Minnesota." Prices reflect real-time, crowd-sourced probabilities backed by financial conviction, often providing faster and more accurate signals than polls, pundits, or traditional surveys.

Vencedor das primárias republicanas do Senado de Minnesota

Vencedor das primárias republicanas do Senado de Minnesota

Regras

Contexto de Mercado

Contexto de Mercado

Comentários

Top Holders

Cargos

Actividade

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the "Vencedor das primárias republicanas do Senado de Minnesota" prediction market?

How much trading activity has "Vencedor das primárias republicanas do Senado de Minnesota" generated on Polymarket?

How do I trade on "Vencedor das primárias republicanas do Senado de Minnesota"?

What are the current odds for "Vencedor das primárias republicanas do Senado de Minnesota"?

How will "Vencedor das primárias republicanas do Senado de Minnesota" be resolved?

Can I follow "Vencedor das primárias republicanas do Senado de Minnesota" without placing a trade?

Why are Polymarket's odds for "Vencedor das primárias republicanas do Senado de Minnesota" considered reliable?

How do I start trading on "Vencedor das primárias republicanas do Senado de Minnesota"?

What does a price of 78¢ for "Michele Tafoya" mean?

When does the "Vencedor das primárias republicanas do Senado de Minnesota" market close?

What are traders saying about "Vencedor das primárias republicanas do Senado de Minnesota"?

What is Polymarket?