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Khamenei # publica de 10 a 17 de abril de 2026?

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Khamenei # publica de 10 a 17 de abril de 2026?

<5 100.0%

5-9 <1%

10-14 <1%

15-19 <1%

Polymarket

$15,044 Vol.

<5 100.0%

5-9 <1%

10-14 <1%

15-19 <1%

Polymarket

$15,044 Vol.

<5

$2,919 Vol.

Sim

5-9

$1,166 Vol.

Não

10-14

$1,036 Vol.

Não

15-19

$1,545 Vol.

Não

20-24

$1,235 Vol.

Não

25-29

$892 Vol.

Não

30-34

$1,188 Vol.

Não

35-39

$823 Vol.

Não

40-44

$875 Vol.

Não

45-49

$675 Vol.

Não

50-54

$841 Vol.

Não

55-59

$658 Vol.

Não

60+

$1,190 Vol.

Não

This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between April 10, 12:00 PM ET and April 17, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus overwhelmingly prices fewer than 5 posts from Ayatollah Ali Khamenei's @khamenei_ir X account during April 10-17, 2026, at 100%, driven by verified minimal activity—just one post on April 13 reposting a 1995 statement on Prophet Jesus amid regional tensions—following his reported martyrdom in U.S.-Israeli strikes in February 2026. The account's bio now honors him as the "martyred Leader," shifting to archival shares with sporadic frequency, exacerbated by successor Mojtaba Khamenei's reported severe injuries and conflicting health updates from early April, limiting official output. With resolution imminent at April 17, 12:00 PM ET, only an improbable surge of 4+ additional posts in final hours could challenge this lock-in.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between April 10, 12:00 PM ET and April 17, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$15,044
Data de Término
17 abr 2026
Mercado Aberto
Apr 7, 2026, 12:04 AM ET

Fonte de resolução

https://x.com/khamenei_ir
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between April 10, 12:00 PM ET and April 17, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Resultado proposto: Sim

Sem contestação

Resultado final: Sim

This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between April 10, 12:00 PM ET and April 17, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus overwhelmingly prices fewer than 5 posts from Ayatollah Ali Khamenei's @khamenei_ir X account during April 10-17, 2026, at 100%, driven by verified minimal activity—just one post on April 13 reposting a 1995 statement on Prophet Jesus amid regional tensions—following his reported martyrdom in U.S.-Israeli strikes in February 2026. The account's bio now honors him as the "martyred Leader," shifting to archival shares with sporadic frequency, exacerbated by successor Mojtaba Khamenei's reported severe injuries and conflicting health updates from early April, limiting official output. With resolution imminent at April 17, 12:00 PM ET, only an improbable surge of 4+ additional posts in final hours could challenge this lock-in.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between April 10, 12:00 PM ET and April 17, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$15,044
Data de Término
17 abr 2026
Mercado Aberto
Apr 7, 2026, 12:04 AM ET

Fonte de resolução

https://x.com/khamenei_ir
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between April 10, 12:00 PM ET and April 17, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Resultado proposto: Sim

Sem contestação

Resultado final: Sim

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Khamenei # publica de 10 a 17 de abril de 2026?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 13 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "<5" at 100%, followed by "5-9" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Khamenei # publica de 10 a 17 de abril de 2026?" has generated $15K in total trading volume since the market launched on Apr 7, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Khamenei # publica de 10 a 17 de abril de 2026?," browse the 13 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Khamenei # publica de 10 a 17 de abril de 2026?" is "<5" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "5-9" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Khamenei # publica de 10 a 17 de abril de 2026?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.