Trader consensus overwhelmingly prices fewer than 5 posts from Ayatollah Ali Khamenei's @khamenei_ir X account during April 10-17, 2026, at 100%, driven by verified minimal activity—just one post on April 13 reposting a 1995 statement on Prophet Jesus amid regional tensions—following his reported martyrdom in U.S.-Israeli strikes in February 2026. The account's bio now honors him as the "martyred Leader," shifting to archival shares with sporadic frequency, exacerbated by successor Mojtaba Khamenei's reported severe injuries and conflicting health updates from early April, limiting official output. With resolution imminent at April 17, 12:00 PM ET, only an improbable surge of 4+ additional posts in final hours could challenge this lock-in.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoKhamenei # publica de 10 a 17 de abril de 2026?
Khamenei # publica de 10 a 17 de abril de 2026?
<5 100.0%
5-9 <1%
10-14 <1%
15-19 <1%
$15,044 Vol.
$15,044 Vol.
<5
Sim
5-9
Não
10-14
Não
15-19
Não
20-24
Não
25-29
Não
30-34
Não
35-39
Não
40-44
Não
45-49
Não
50-54
Não
55-59
Não
60+
Não
<5 100.0%
5-9 <1%
10-14 <1%
15-19 <1%
$15,044 Vol.
$15,044 Vol.
<5
Sim
5-9
Não
10-14
Não
15-19
Não
20-24
Não
25-29
Não
30-34
Não
35-39
Não
40-44
Não
45-49
Não
50-54
Não
55-59
Não
60+
Não
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 7, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://x.com/khamenei_irResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Sim
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Sim
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Fonte de resolução
https://x.com/khamenei_irResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Sim
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Sim
Trader consensus overwhelmingly prices fewer than 5 posts from Ayatollah Ali Khamenei's @khamenei_ir X account during April 10-17, 2026, at 100%, driven by verified minimal activity—just one post on April 13 reposting a 1995 statement on Prophet Jesus amid regional tensions—following his reported martyrdom in U.S.-Israeli strikes in February 2026. The account's bio now honors him as the "martyred Leader," shifting to archival shares with sporadic frequency, exacerbated by successor Mojtaba Khamenei's reported severe injuries and conflicting health updates from early April, limiting official output. With resolution imminent at April 17, 12:00 PM ET, only an improbable surge of 4+ additional posts in final hours could challenge this lock-in.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
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