Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 32°C (39.5%) and 31°C (34.5%) for Singapore's highest temperature on March 28, driven by the latest forecasts from the Meteorological Service Singapore indicating maximums near 31.5–32.5°C under fair skies with possible afternoon thundershowers. This tight race reflects inherent uncertainty in tropical diurnal cycles, where solar insolation peaks midday but sea breezes and convective cumulus clouds often cap highs by 1–2°C; minimal cloud cover favors 32°C, while early showers tilt toward 31°C. Recent model runs from ECMWF and GFS show consensus around 32°C, moderated by neutral ENSO conditions and urban heat island effects amplifying baselines above the March historical average of 31.2°C. Hourly updates expected throughout the day could shift odds as observations refine peak timing.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Singapore on March 28?
Highest temperature in Singapore on March 28?
31°C 40%
32°C 38%
33°C 18%
30°C 4.2%
$92,324 Vol.
$92,324 Vol.
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
4%
31°C
40%
32°C
38%
33°C
18%
34°C
1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
31°C 40%
32°C 38%
33°C 18%
30°C 4.2%
$92,324 Vol.
$92,324 Vol.
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
4%
31°C
40%
32°C
38%
33°C
18%
34°C
1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 24, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 32°C (39.5%) and 31°C (34.5%) for Singapore's highest temperature on March 28, driven by the latest forecasts from the Meteorological Service Singapore indicating maximums near 31.5–32.5°C under fair skies with possible afternoon thundershowers. This tight race reflects inherent uncertainty in tropical diurnal cycles, where solar insolation peaks midday but sea breezes and convective cumulus clouds often cap highs by 1–2°C; minimal cloud cover favors 32°C, while early showers tilt toward 31°C. Recent model runs from ECMWF and GFS show consensus around 32°C, moderated by neutral ENSO conditions and urban heat island effects amplifying baselines above the March historical average of 31.2°C. Hourly updates expected throughout the day could shift odds as observations refine peak timing.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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