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Highest temperature in Shenzhen on March 29?

Market icon

Highest temperature in Shenzhen on March 29?

Mar 28

Mar 29

Mar 28

Mar 29

27°C 33%

28°C 22%

26°C 22%

29°C 11%

Polymarket

$24,647 Vol.

27°C 33%

28°C 22%

26°C 22%

29°C 11%

Polymarket

$24,647 Vol.

21°C or below

$2,188 Vol.

<1%

22°C

$1,996 Vol.

1%

23°C

$6,251 Vol.

1%

24°C

$2,116 Vol.

2%

25°C

$1,408 Vol.

6%

26°C

$1,158 Vol.

22%

27°C

$1,682 Vol.

33%

28°C

$1,340 Vol.

22%

29°C

$1,441 Vol.

11%

30°C

$2,120 Vol.

5%

31°C or higher

$3,253 Vol.

2%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Baoan International Airport in degrees Celsius on 29 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble forecasts from global models like ECMWF and GFS, alongside China Meteorological Administration guidance, converge on a peak temperature of 27-28°C at Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport on March 29, driving trader sentiment with 27°C leading at 32.5% implied probability and close rivalry from 28°C (23.5%) and 26°C (21.0%). This positioning stems from the ongoing warm spell—29°C recorded on March 26 under clear skies—but moderating factors including southerly sea breezes, elevated humidity around 70-80%, and potential light afternoon showers or cloud cover, as indicated by BBC and Metcheck outlooks showing highs of 27-29°C with gentle 10-15 km/h winds. Uncertainties in boundary layer mixing and urban heat island amplification at the airport station create the tight 1-2°C spread; watch for updated 12Z model runs and CMA hourly bulletins today.

Latest ensemble forecasts from global models like ECMWF and GFS, alongside China Meteorological Administration guidance, converge on a peak temperature of 27-28°C at Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport on March 29, driving trader sentiment with 27°C leading at 32.5% implied probability and close rivalry from 28°C (23.5%) and 26°C (21.0%). This positioning stems from the ongoing warm spell—29°C recorded on March 26 under clear skies—but moderating factors including southerly sea breezes, elevated humidity around 70-80%, and potential light afternoon showers or cloud cover, as indicated by BBC and Metcheck outlooks showing highs of 27-29°C with gentle 10-15 km/h winds. Uncertainties in boundary layer mixing and urban heat island amplification at the airport station create the tight 1-2°C spread; watch for updated 12Z model runs and CMA hourly bulletins today.

Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Baoan International Airport in degrees Celsius on 29 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble forecasts from global models like ECMWF and GFS, alongside China Meteorological Administration guidance, converge on a peak temperature of 27-28°C at Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport on March 29, driving trader sentiment with 27°C leading at 32.5% implied probability and close rivalry from 28°C (23.5%) and 26°C (21.0%). This positioning stems from the ongoing warm spell—29°C recorded on March 26 under clear skies—but moderating factors including southerly sea breezes, elevated humidity around 70-80%, and potential light afternoon showers or cloud cover, as indicated by BBC and Metcheck outlooks showing highs of 27-29°C with gentle 10-15 km/h winds. Uncertainties in boundary layer mixing and urban heat island amplification at the airport station create the tight 1-2°C spread; watch for updated 12Z model runs and CMA hourly bulletins today.

Latest ensemble forecasts from global models like ECMWF and GFS, alongside China Meteorological Administration guidance, converge on a peak temperature of 27-28°C at Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport on March 29, driving trader sentiment with 27°C leading at 32.5% implied probability and close rivalry from 28°C (23.5%) and 26°C (21.0%). This positioning stems from the ongoing warm spell—29°C recorded on March 26 under clear skies—but moderating factors including southerly sea breezes, elevated humidity around 70-80%, and potential light afternoon showers or cloud cover, as indicated by BBC and Metcheck outlooks showing highs of 27-29°C with gentle 10-15 km/h winds. Uncertainties in boundary layer mixing and urban heat island amplification at the airport station create the tight 1-2°C spread; watch for updated 12Z model runs and CMA hourly bulletins today.

Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Highest temperature in Shenzhen on March 29?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "27°C" at 33%, followed by "28°C" at 23%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 33¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 33% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Highest temperature in Shenzhen on March 29?" has generated $24.6K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 25, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Highest temperature in Shenzhen on March 29?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Highest temperature in Shenzhen on March 29?" is "27°C" at 33%, meaning the market assigns a 33% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "28°C" at 23%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Highest temperature in Shenzhen on March 29?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.