The Polymarket trader consensus assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 13°C in Seoul on March 27, driven by the Korea Meteorological Administration's (KMA) latest forecast pinpointing a daytime maximum of exactly 13°C amid partly cloudy conditions and light northerly winds limiting warm air advection. Ensemble model guidance from ECMWF and GFS corroborates this, with tight uncertainty bands (±1°C) reflecting stable upper-air patterns and no diurnal heating spikes expected. Current observations show morning lows near 8°C rising steadily but capped by cloud cover. Scenarios challenging this—such as sudden solar clearing or a wind shift—remain improbable given March climatology, where Seoul averages 11-12°C highs; resolution hinges on KMA's official hourly data release post-midnight.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Seul em 27 de março?
Temperatura mais alta em Seul em 27 de março?
13°C 100.0%
6°C ou menos <1%
7°C <1%
8°C <1%
$641,884 Vol.
$641,884 Vol.
6°C ou menos
Não
7°C
Não
8°C
Não
9°C
Não
10°C
Não
11°C
Não
12°C
Não
13°C
Sim
14°C
Não
15°C
Não
16°C ou mais
Não
13°C 100.0%
6°C ou menos <1%
7°C <1%
8°C <1%
$641,884 Vol.
$641,884 Vol.
6°C ou menos
Não
7°C
Não
8°C
Não
9°C
Não
10°C
Não
11°C
Não
12°C
Não
13°C
Sim
14°C
Não
15°C
Não
16°C ou mais
Não
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 23, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Sim
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Sim
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Sim
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Sim
The Polymarket trader consensus assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 13°C in Seoul on March 27, driven by the Korea Meteorological Administration's (KMA) latest forecast pinpointing a daytime maximum of exactly 13°C amid partly cloudy conditions and light northerly winds limiting warm air advection. Ensemble model guidance from ECMWF and GFS corroborates this, with tight uncertainty bands (±1°C) reflecting stable upper-air patterns and no diurnal heating spikes expected. Current observations show morning lows near 8°C rising steadily but capped by cloud cover. Scenarios challenging this—such as sudden solar clearing or a wind shift—remain improbable given March climatology, where Seoul averages 11-12°C highs; resolution hinges on KMA's official hourly data release post-midnight.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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