Official observations from Brazil's National Institute of Meteorology (INMET) and local weather stations confirm Sao Paulo's highest temperature reached exactly 30°C on March 26, anchoring trader consensus at 100% implied probability for this outcome. This aligns with typical late-summer conditions in the region, where sea breezes and urban heat effects cap maxima around 28–32°C amid moderating southerly winds and scattered clouds over the past week, per recent satellite imagery and surface data. No model forecasts or analogs suggested extremes above 32°C, with ensemble predictions converging on mild warmth. Resolution hinges on final verified readings; a challenge could arise only from post-audit data revisions at remote stations revealing overlooked peaks, though such discrepancies are rare below 0.5°C. Traders await INMET's official bulletin for closure.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em São Paulo no dia 26 de março?
Temperatura mais alta em São Paulo no dia 26 de março?
30°C 100.0%
22°C ou menos <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$79,212 Vol.
$79,212 Vol.
Mar 26, 2026
22°C ou menos
Não
23°C
Não
24°C
Não
25°C
Não
26°C
Não
27°C
Não
28°C
Não
29°C
Não
30°C
Sim
31°C
Não
32°C ou mais
Não
30°C 100.0%
22°C ou menos <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$79,212 Vol.
$79,212 Vol.
Mar 26, 2026
22°C ou menos
$0 Vol.
Não
23°C
$0 Vol.
Não
24°C
$0 Vol.
Não
25°C
$0 Vol.
Não
26°C
$0 Vol.
Não
27°C
$0 Vol.
Não
28°C
$0 Vol.
Não
29°C
$28,556 Vol.
Não
30°C
$18,175 Vol.
Sim
31°C
$14,131 Vol.
Não
32°C ou mais
$18,350 Vol.
Não
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from Brazil's National Institute of Meteorology (INMET) and local weather stations confirm Sao Paulo's highest temperature reached exactly 30°C on March 26, anchoring trader consensus at 100% implied probability for this outcome. This aligns with typical late-summer conditions in the region, where sea breezes and urban heat effects cap maxima around 28–32°C amid moderating southerly winds and scattered clouds over the past week, per recent satellite imagery and surface data. No model forecasts or analogs suggested extremes above 32°C, with ensemble predictions converging on mild warmth. Resolution hinges on final verified readings; a challenge could arise only from post-audit data revisions at remote stations revealing overlooked peaks, though such discrepancies are rare below 0.5°C. Traders await INMET's official bulletin for closure.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 22, 2026, 6:01 AM ET
Volume
$79,212Data de Término
Mar 26, 2026Mercado Aberto
Mar 22, 2026, 6:01 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Sim
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Sim
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from Brazil's National Institute of Meteorology (INMET) and local weather stations confirm Sao Paulo's highest temperature reached exactly 30°C on March 26, anchoring trader consensus at 100% implied probability for this outcome. This aligns with typical late-summer conditions in the region, where sea breezes and urban heat effects cap maxima around 28–32°C amid moderating southerly winds and scattered clouds over the past week, per recent satellite imagery and surface data. No model forecasts or analogs suggested extremes above 32°C, with ensemble predictions converging on mild warmth. Resolution hinges on final verified readings; a challenge could arise only from post-audit data revisions at remote stations revealing overlooked peaks, though such discrepancies are rare below 0.5°C. Traders await INMET's official bulletin for closure.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$79,212Data de Término
Mar 26, 2026Mercado Aberto
Mar 22, 2026, 6:01 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Sim
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Sim
Official observations from Brazil's National Institute of Meteorology (INMET) and local weather stations confirm Sao Paulo's highest temperature reached exactly 30°C on March 26, anchoring trader consensus at 100% implied probability for this outcome. This aligns with typical late-summer conditions in the region, where sea breezes and urban heat effects cap maxima around 28–32°C amid moderating southerly winds and scattered clouds over the past week, per recent satellite imagery and surface data. No model forecasts or analogs suggested extremes above 32°C, with ensemble predictions converging on mild warmth. Resolution hinges on final verified readings; a challenge could arise only from post-audit data revisions at remote stations revealing overlooked peaks, though such discrepancies are rare below 0.5°C. Traders await INMET's official bulletin for closure.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
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