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Highest temperature in Milan on March 28?

Market icon

Highest temperature in Milan on March 28?

Mar 28

Mar 29

Mar 28

Mar 29

17°C 43%

16°C 26%

18°C 19%

15°C 6.7%

Polymarket

$21,197 Vol.

17°C 43%

16°C 26%

18°C 19%

15°C 6.7%

Polymarket

$21,197 Vol.

11°C or below

$3,306 Vol.

<1%

12°C

$1,344 Vol.

1%

13°C

$2,245 Vol.

1%

14°C

$2,054 Vol.

2%

15°C

$3,189 Vol.

7%

16°C

$2,576 Vol.

26%

17°C

$1,678 Vol.

43%

18°C

$1,145 Vol.

19%

19°C

$812 Vol.

3%

20°C

$1,506 Vol.

1%

21°C or higher

$1,482 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Latest ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and Italy's ARPA Lombardia regional monitoring agency have converged on a daytime high near 17°C at Milan Malpensa International Airport, the market's resolution station, driving trader consensus with 42.5% implied probability for 17°C and 23.5% for 16°C.** This positioning reflects a mild high-pressure ridge over northern Italy fostering above-average spring temperatures—seasonal norms hover around 14–15°C—supported by light southerly flows and minimal cloud interference in the past 24 hours' model runs. GFS guidance aligns closely, though slight ensemble spread introduces uncertainty from potential afternoon showers or urban heat effects; real-time observations from Malpensa will finalize the outcome today, with updates expected hourly through evening.

**Latest ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and Italy's ARPA Lombardia regional monitoring agency have converged on a daytime high near 17°C at Milan Malpensa International Airport, the market's resolution station, driving trader consensus with 42.5% implied probability for 17°C and 23.5% for 16°C.** This positioning reflects a mild high-pressure ridge over northern Italy fostering above-average spring temperatures—seasonal norms hover around 14–15°C—supported by light southerly flows and minimal cloud interference in the past 24 hours' model runs. GFS guidance aligns closely, though slight ensemble spread introduces uncertainty from potential afternoon showers or urban heat effects; real-time observations from Malpensa will finalize the outcome today, with updates expected hourly through evening.

Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Latest ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and Italy's ARPA Lombardia regional monitoring agency have converged on a daytime high near 17°C at Milan Malpensa International Airport, the market's resolution station, driving trader consensus with 42.5% implied probability for 17°C and 23.5% for 16°C.** This positioning reflects a mild high-pressure ridge over northern Italy fostering above-average spring temperatures—seasonal norms hover around 14–15°C—supported by light southerly flows and minimal cloud interference in the past 24 hours' model runs. GFS guidance aligns closely, though slight ensemble spread introduces uncertainty from potential afternoon showers or urban heat effects; real-time observations from Malpensa will finalize the outcome today, with updates expected hourly through evening.

**Latest ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and Italy's ARPA Lombardia regional monitoring agency have converged on a daytime high near 17°C at Milan Malpensa International Airport, the market's resolution station, driving trader consensus with 42.5% implied probability for 17°C and 23.5% for 16°C.** This positioning reflects a mild high-pressure ridge over northern Italy fostering above-average spring temperatures—seasonal norms hover around 14–15°C—supported by light southerly flows and minimal cloud interference in the past 24 hours' model runs. GFS guidance aligns closely, though slight ensemble spread introduces uncertainty from potential afternoon showers or urban heat effects; real-time observations from Malpensa will finalize the outcome today, with updates expected hourly through evening.

Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Highest temperature in Milan on March 28?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "17°C" at 43%, followed by "16°C" at 26%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 43¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 43% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Highest temperature in Milan on March 28?" has generated $21.2K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 24, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Highest temperature in Milan on March 28?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Highest temperature in Milan on March 28?" is "17°C" at 43%, meaning the market assigns a 43% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "16°C" at 26%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Highest temperature in Milan on March 28?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.