Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 82-83°F as the highest temperature in Miami on March 26 at 100% implied probability, driven by official National Weather Service observations from Miami International Airport confirming a peak of 83°F amid partly cloudy skies and light northerly winds capping daytime heating. Short-range forecast models from NOAA's Global Forecast System and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts converged on highs in the low 80s ahead of the date, aligning with climatological norms for late March—averaging 79-82°F—following a recent cool front that suppressed instability. While data revisions from quality control are possible but rare (occurring in <1% of cases per NWS protocols), a sustained measurement error or station malfunction could prompt recalculation, though current validations show no anomalies. Next NWS daily summary expected to affirm this reading.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Miami em 26 de março?
Temperatura mais alta em Miami em 26 de março?
82-83°F 100.0%
71°F ou menos <1%
72-73°F <1%
74-75°F <1%
$81,304 Vol.
$81,304 Vol.
71°F ou menos
Não
72-73°F
Não
74-75°F
Não
76-77°F
Não
78-79°F
Não
80-81°F
Não
82-83°F
Sim
84-85°F
Não
30-31°C
Não
88-89°F
Não
90°F ou mais
Não
82-83°F 100.0%
71°F ou menos <1%
72-73°F <1%
74-75°F <1%
$81,304 Vol.
$81,304 Vol.
71°F ou menos
Não
72-73°F
Não
74-75°F
Não
76-77°F
Não
78-79°F
Não
80-81°F
Não
82-83°F
Sim
84-85°F
Não
30-31°C
Não
88-89°F
Não
90°F ou mais
Não
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 22, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 82-83°F as the highest temperature in Miami on March 26 at 100% implied probability, driven by official National Weather Service observations from Miami International Airport confirming a peak of 83°F amid partly cloudy skies and light northerly winds capping daytime heating. Short-range forecast models from NOAA's Global Forecast System and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts converged on highs in the low 80s ahead of the date, aligning with climatological norms for late March—averaging 79-82°F—following a recent cool front that suppressed instability. While data revisions from quality control are possible but rare (occurring in <1% of cases per NWS protocols), a sustained measurement error or station malfunction could prompt recalculation, though current validations show no anomalies. Next NWS daily summary expected to affirm this reading.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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