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Temperatura mais alta em Madrid a 28 de março?

Market icon

Temperatura mais alta em Madrid a 28 de março?

Mar 28

Mar 29

Mar 28

Mar 29

17°C 36%

18°C 32%

16°C 16%

19°C 12.8%

Polymarket

$41,012 Vol.

17°C 36%

18°C 32%

16°C 16%

19°C 12.8%

Polymarket

$41,012 Vol.

13°C ou menos

$3,840 Vol.

1%

14°C

$5,034 Vol.

1%

15°C

$5,179 Vol.

2%

16°C

$4,615 Vol.

16%

17°C

$3,307 Vol.

36%

18°C

$4,078 Vol.

32%

19°C

$3,386 Vol.

13%

20°C

$3,825 Vol.

4%

21°C

$2,978 Vol.

1%

22°C

$2,679 Vol.

<1%

23°C ou mais

$2,105 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models show a tight spread of 16.5–18.5°C for Madrid's highest temperature at Adolfo Suárez Madrid–Barajas Airport on March 28, driving trader sentiment toward 17°C and 18°C with near-even implied probabilities amid inherent short-range uncertainty in peak afternoon boundary-layer heating. Yesterday's observed maximum of 18.9°C at Barajas reflected mild southerly flows under a high-pressure ridge over Iberia, but recent 24-hour updates from AEMET and global models indicate subtle cooling from increased northerly airflow delivering drier continental air, lighter cloud cover enhancing solar insolation, and moderated urban heat island effects. Historical late-March averages near 16°C provide baseline context, while new 00Z ensemble runs overnight could refine the balance between these outcomes.

Ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models show a tight spread of 16.5–18.5°C for Madrid's highest temperature at Adolfo Suárez Madrid–Barajas Airport on March 28, driving trader sentiment toward 17°C and 18°C with near-even implied probabilities amid inherent short-range uncertainty in peak afternoon boundary-layer heating. Yesterday's observed maximum of 18.9°C at Barajas reflected mild southerly flows under a high-pressure ridge over Iberia, but recent 24-hour updates from AEMET and global models indicate subtle cooling from increased northerly airflow delivering drier continental air, lighter cloud cover enhancing solar insolation, and moderated urban heat island effects. Historical late-March averages near 16°C provide baseline context, while new 00Z ensemble runs overnight could refine the balance between these outcomes.

Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models show a tight spread of 16.5–18.5°C for Madrid's highest temperature at Adolfo Suárez Madrid–Barajas Airport on March 28, driving trader sentiment toward 17°C and 18°C with near-even implied probabilities amid inherent short-range uncertainty in peak afternoon boundary-layer heating. Yesterday's observed maximum of 18.9°C at Barajas reflected mild southerly flows under a high-pressure ridge over Iberia, but recent 24-hour updates from AEMET and global models indicate subtle cooling from increased northerly airflow delivering drier continental air, lighter cloud cover enhancing solar insolation, and moderated urban heat island effects. Historical late-March averages near 16°C provide baseline context, while new 00Z ensemble runs overnight could refine the balance between these outcomes.

Ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models show a tight spread of 16.5–18.5°C for Madrid's highest temperature at Adolfo Suárez Madrid–Barajas Airport on March 28, driving trader sentiment toward 17°C and 18°C with near-even implied probabilities amid inherent short-range uncertainty in peak afternoon boundary-layer heating. Yesterday's observed maximum of 18.9°C at Barajas reflected mild southerly flows under a high-pressure ridge over Iberia, but recent 24-hour updates from AEMET and global models indicate subtle cooling from increased northerly airflow delivering drier continental air, lighter cloud cover enhancing solar insolation, and moderated urban heat island effects. Historical late-March averages near 16°C provide baseline context, while new 00Z ensemble runs overnight could refine the balance between these outcomes.

Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Temperatura mais alta em Madrid a 28 de março?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "17°C" at 36%, followed by "18°C" at 32%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 36¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 36% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Temperatura mais alta em Madrid a 28 de março?" has generated $41K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 24, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Temperatura mais alta em Madrid a 28 de março?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Temperatura mais alta em Madrid a 28 de março?" is "17°C" at 36%, meaning the market assigns a 36% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "18°C" at 32%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Temperatura mais alta em Madrid a 28 de março?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.