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Temperatura mais alta em Madrid a 28 de março?

Market icon

Temperatura mais alta em Madrid a 28 de março?

Mar 28

Mar 29

Mar 28

Mar 29

17°C 35%

18°C 32%

16°C 16%

19°C 12.3%

Polymarket

$39,128 Vol.

17°C 35%

18°C 32%

16°C 16%

19°C 12.3%

Polymarket

$39,128 Vol.

13°C ou menos

$3,737 Vol.

<1%

14°C

$4,956 Vol.

<1%

15°C

$5,078 Vol.

2%

16°C

$4,430 Vol.

16%

17°C

$3,213 Vol.

35%

18°C

$3,954 Vol.

32%

19°C

$3,260 Vol.

12%

20°C

$3,508 Vol.

4%

21°C

$2,915 Vol.

1%

22°C

$2,336 Vol.

<1%

23°C ou mais

$1,741 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a tight contest between 17°C (34%) and 18°C (31.5%) as Madrid's highest temperature today, driven by AEMET's latest forecast of a 20°C maximum under stable high-pressure conditions and mostly clear skies, tempered by strengthening northeasterly winds at 20 km/h that could cap daytime heating in the upper teens. Yesterday's official observations peaked at 18.7°C in Retiro station amid milder southerly flows, aligning with ensemble model spreads from ECMWF and GFS clustering around 17–18°C despite some warmer outliers. Inherent uncertainty stems from afternoon cloud variability and exact peak timing, with real-time AEMET data through evening resolution providing the final measure at key urban stations. Historical March averages hover near 16°C, underscoring mild spring norms.

Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a tight contest between 17°C (34%) and 18°C (31.5%) as Madrid's highest temperature today, driven by AEMET's latest forecast of a 20°C maximum under stable high-pressure conditions and mostly clear skies, tempered by strengthening northeasterly winds at 20 km/h that could cap daytime heating in the upper teens. Yesterday's official observations peaked at 18.7°C in Retiro station amid milder southerly flows, aligning with ensemble model spreads from ECMWF and GFS clustering around 17–18°C despite some warmer outliers. Inherent uncertainty stems from afternoon cloud variability and exact peak timing, with real-time AEMET data through evening resolution providing the final measure at key urban stations. Historical March averages hover near 16°C, underscoring mild spring norms.

Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a tight contest between 17°C (34%) and 18°C (31.5%) as Madrid's highest temperature today, driven by AEMET's latest forecast of a 20°C maximum under stable high-pressure conditions and mostly clear skies, tempered by strengthening northeasterly winds at 20 km/h that could cap daytime heating in the upper teens. Yesterday's official observations peaked at 18.7°C in Retiro station amid milder southerly flows, aligning with ensemble model spreads from ECMWF and GFS clustering around 17–18°C despite some warmer outliers. Inherent uncertainty stems from afternoon cloud variability and exact peak timing, with real-time AEMET data through evening resolution providing the final measure at key urban stations. Historical March averages hover near 16°C, underscoring mild spring norms.

Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a tight contest between 17°C (34%) and 18°C (31.5%) as Madrid's highest temperature today, driven by AEMET's latest forecast of a 20°C maximum under stable high-pressure conditions and mostly clear skies, tempered by strengthening northeasterly winds at 20 km/h that could cap daytime heating in the upper teens. Yesterday's official observations peaked at 18.7°C in Retiro station amid milder southerly flows, aligning with ensemble model spreads from ECMWF and GFS clustering around 17–18°C despite some warmer outliers. Inherent uncertainty stems from afternoon cloud variability and exact peak timing, with real-time AEMET data through evening resolution providing the final measure at key urban stations. Historical March averages hover near 16°C, underscoring mild spring norms.

Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Temperatura mais alta em Madrid a 28 de março?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "17°C" at 35%, followed by "18°C" at 32%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 35¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 35% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Temperatura mais alta em Madrid a 28 de março?" has generated $39.1K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 24, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Temperatura mais alta em Madrid a 28 de março?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Temperatura mais alta em Madrid a 28 de março?" is "17°C" at 35%, meaning the market assigns a 35% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "18°C" at 32%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Temperatura mais alta em Madrid a 28 de março?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.