Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 49% implied probability on a Houston high of 82-83°F on March 29, closely followed by 80-81°F at 33.5%, reflecting the latest National Weather Service forecast of mostly sunny skies with highs near 82°F. This positioning stems from a shallow cold front that passed Friday, March 27, yielding a quick rebound via building upper-level ridging and light southerly winds fostering subsidence and peak diurnal heating. Recent observations show highs of 81-82°F earlier this week amid dry post-storm recovery from mid-March severe weather, well above the 75°F March climatological average. GFS and ECMWF model ensembles align on 80-83°F, though lingering low-level moisture introduces minor uncertainty; overnight forecast updates from NOAA could refine trajectories ahead of tomorrow's resolution based on official observations at Houston's George Bush Intercontinental Airport.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Houston em 29 de março?
Temperatura mais alta em Houston em 29 de março?
82-83°F 49%
80-81°F 32%
84-85°F 8%
76-77°F 4.5%
$13,365 Vol.
$13,365 Vol.
73°F ou menos
1%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
5%
78-79°F
3%
80-81°F
32%
82-83°F
49%
84-85°F
8%
30-31°C
3%
88-89°F
1%
32-33°C
<1%
92°F ou mais
<1%
82-83°F 49%
80-81°F 32%
84-85°F 8%
76-77°F 4.5%
$13,365 Vol.
$13,365 Vol.
73°F ou menos
1%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
5%
78-79°F
3%
80-81°F
32%
82-83°F
49%
84-85°F
8%
30-31°C
3%
88-89°F
1%
32-33°C
<1%
92°F ou mais
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 25, 2026, 6:09 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 49% implied probability on a Houston high of 82-83°F on March 29, closely followed by 80-81°F at 33.5%, reflecting the latest National Weather Service forecast of mostly sunny skies with highs near 82°F. This positioning stems from a shallow cold front that passed Friday, March 27, yielding a quick rebound via building upper-level ridging and light southerly winds fostering subsidence and peak diurnal heating. Recent observations show highs of 81-82°F earlier this week amid dry post-storm recovery from mid-March severe weather, well above the 75°F March climatological average. GFS and ECMWF model ensembles align on 80-83°F, though lingering low-level moisture introduces minor uncertainty; overnight forecast updates from NOAA could refine trajectories ahead of tomorrow's resolution based on official observations at Houston's George Bush Intercontinental Airport.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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