Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 54-55°F in Denver on March 27, driven by preliminary observations from the official KDEN station at Denver International Airport, where automated Surface Observing System (ASOS) data recorded this peak amid post-heatwave cooling. Following record March highs like 87°F on March 25—fueled by a strong ridge— a deepening trough ushered in cooler air masses, gusty winds, and increased cloud cover, aligning with seasonal norms (historical March average high around 55°F) and model consensus from NOAA forecasts. Realistic challenges include rare quality-control revisions in the final National Weather Service daily climatological report, typically issued within 24-48 hours, if instrument anomalies are flagged, though such adjustments seldom exceed 1-2°F. Watch for the official CLI product release confirming resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Denver on March 27?
Highest temperature in Denver on March 27?
54-55°F 99.8%
58-59°F <1%
56-57°F <1%
60-61°F <1%
$96,536 Vol.
$96,536 Vol.
54-55°F
100%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68°F or higher
<1%
54-55°F 99.8%
58-59°F <1%
56-57°F <1%
60-61°F <1%
$96,536 Vol.
$96,536 Vol.
54-55°F
100%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckly Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 23, 2026, 6:17 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/denver/KDENResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: No
Sem contestação
Resultado final: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckly Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/denver/KDENResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: No
Sem contestação
Resultado final: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 54-55°F in Denver on March 27, driven by preliminary observations from the official KDEN station at Denver International Airport, where automated Surface Observing System (ASOS) data recorded this peak amid post-heatwave cooling. Following record March highs like 87°F on March 25—fueled by a strong ridge— a deepening trough ushered in cooler air masses, gusty winds, and increased cloud cover, aligning with seasonal norms (historical March average high around 55°F) and model consensus from NOAA forecasts. Realistic challenges include rare quality-control revisions in the final National Weather Service daily climatological report, typically issued within 24-48 hours, if instrument anomalies are flagged, though such adjustments seldom exceed 1-2°F. Watch for the official CLI product release confirming resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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