Latest National Weather Service forecasts and GFS/ECMWF model ensembles indicate a trader consensus favoring a high of 82-83°F (33.5% implied probability) in Dallas on March 29, rebounding sharply from a recent cold front under a strengthening upper-level ridge promoting subsidence and sunny skies. Southerly winds transporting Gulf moisture will support afternoon peaks near 82°F, consistent with the ongoing Texas heat wave where recent days hit 85°F amid dry conditions and fire risks. Uncertainty across outcomes like 80-81°F (22.5%) or 84-85°F (16.5%) arises from potential high clouds, isolated cumulus development, or variations in boundary layer mixing depth. March climatology averages 70°F highs, but +10-15°F anomalies are typical in such setups; monitor NWS 18z updates for final guidance before DFW airport observations resolve the market.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Dallas em 29 de março?
Temperatura mais alta em Dallas em 29 de março?
82-83°F 32%
80-81°F 22%
84-85°F 18%
78-79°F 16%
$36,401 Vol.
$36,401 Vol.
73°F ou menos
1%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
4%
78-79°F
16%
80-81°F
22%
82-83°F
32%
84-85°F
18%
30-31°C
4%
88-89°F
1%
90-91°F
<1%
92°F ou mais
<1%
82-83°F 32%
80-81°F 22%
84-85°F 18%
78-79°F 16%
$36,401 Vol.
$36,401 Vol.
73°F ou menos
1%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
4%
78-79°F
16%
80-81°F
22%
82-83°F
32%
84-85°F
18%
30-31°C
4%
88-89°F
1%
90-91°F
<1%
92°F ou mais
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 25, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest National Weather Service forecasts and GFS/ECMWF model ensembles indicate a trader consensus favoring a high of 82-83°F (33.5% implied probability) in Dallas on March 29, rebounding sharply from a recent cold front under a strengthening upper-level ridge promoting subsidence and sunny skies. Southerly winds transporting Gulf moisture will support afternoon peaks near 82°F, consistent with the ongoing Texas heat wave where recent days hit 85°F amid dry conditions and fire risks. Uncertainty across outcomes like 80-81°F (22.5%) or 84-85°F (16.5%) arises from potential high clouds, isolated cumulus development, or variations in boundary layer mixing depth. March climatology averages 70°F highs, but +10-15°F anomalies are typical in such setups; monitor NWS 18z updates for final guidance before DFW airport observations resolve the market.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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