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Temperatura mais alta em Dallas em 26 de março?

Market icon

Temperatura mais alta em Dallas em 26 de março?

84-85°F 100.0%

79°F ou menos <1%

80-81°F <1%

82-83°F <1%

Polymarket

$182,453 Vol.

84-85°F 100.0%

79°F ou menos <1%

80-81°F <1%

82-83°F <1%

Polymarket

$182,453 Vol.

79°F ou menos

$0 Vol.

Não

80-81°F

$11,514 Vol.

Não

82-83°F

$69,859 Vol.

Não

84-85°F

$30,131 Vol.

Sim

30-31°C

$19,092 Vol.

Não

88-89°F

$14,510 Vol.

Não

32-33°C

$12,362 Vol.

Não

92-93°F

$7,690 Vol.

Não

94-95°F

$9,410 Vol.

Não

96-97°F

$4,791 Vol.

Não

98°F ou mais

$3,094 Vol.

Não

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts and major models like the GFS and ECMWF have converged on a high temperature of 84-85°F in Dallas on March 26, driving trader consensus to near-certainty on this outcome as reflected in the 100% implied probability. This positioning stems from a persistent high-pressure ridge over Texas fostering clear skies, southwesterly winds, and warm air advection from the south, with latest 12Z model runs showing remarkable agreement within 1°F. Late March climatology in Dallas averages 70-72°F highs, making this an above-normal event amid broader southern warmth patterns. Realistic challenges include unexpected low-level clouds or a wind shift, potentially trimming 2-3°F, though high-resolution HRRR updates through evening reinforce the outlook ahead of observational resolution.

National Weather Service forecasts and major models like the GFS and ECMWF have converged on a high temperature of 84-85°F in Dallas on March 26, driving trader consensus to near-certainty on this outcome as reflected in the 100% implied probability. This positioning stems from a persistent high-pressure ridge over Texas fostering clear skies, southwesterly winds, and warm air advection from the south, with latest 12Z model runs showing remarkable agreement within 1°F. Late March climatology in Dallas averages 70-72°F highs, making this an above-normal event amid broader southern warmth patterns. Realistic challenges include unexpected low-level clouds or a wind shift, potentially trimming 2-3°F, though high-resolution HRRR updates through evening reinforce the outlook ahead of observational resolution.

Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts and major models like the GFS and ECMWF have converged on a high temperature of 84-85°F in Dallas on March 26, driving trader consensus to near-certainty on this outcome as reflected in the 100% implied probability. This positioning stems from a persistent high-pressure ridge over Texas fostering clear skies, southwesterly winds, and warm air advection from the south, with latest 12Z model runs showing remarkable agreement within 1°F. Late March climatology in Dallas averages 70-72°F highs, making this an above-normal event amid broader southern warmth patterns. Realistic challenges include unexpected low-level clouds or a wind shift, potentially trimming 2-3°F, though high-resolution HRRR updates through evening reinforce the outlook ahead of observational resolution.

National Weather Service forecasts and major models like the GFS and ECMWF have converged on a high temperature of 84-85°F in Dallas on March 26, driving trader consensus to near-certainty on this outcome as reflected in the 100% implied probability. This positioning stems from a persistent high-pressure ridge over Texas fostering clear skies, southwesterly winds, and warm air advection from the south, with latest 12Z model runs showing remarkable agreement within 1°F. Late March climatology in Dallas averages 70-72°F highs, making this an above-normal event amid broader southern warmth patterns. Realistic challenges include unexpected low-level clouds or a wind shift, potentially trimming 2-3°F, though high-resolution HRRR updates through evening reinforce the outlook ahead of observational resolution.

Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Temperatura mais alta em Dallas em 26 de março?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "84-85°F" at 100%, followed by "79°F ou menos" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Temperatura mais alta em Dallas em 26 de março?" has generated $182.5K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 22, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Temperatura mais alta em Dallas em 26 de março?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Temperatura mais alta em Dallas em 26 de março?" is "84-85°F" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "79°F ou menos" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Temperatura mais alta em Dallas em 26 de março?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.