National Weather Service forecasts and major models like the GFS and ECMWF have converged on a high temperature of 84-85°F in Dallas on March 26, driving trader consensus to near-certainty on this outcome as reflected in the 100% implied probability. This positioning stems from a persistent high-pressure ridge over Texas fostering clear skies, southwesterly winds, and warm air advection from the south, with latest 12Z model runs showing remarkable agreement within 1°F. Late March climatology in Dallas averages 70-72°F highs, making this an above-normal event amid broader southern warmth patterns. Realistic challenges include unexpected low-level clouds or a wind shift, potentially trimming 2-3°F, though high-resolution HRRR updates through evening reinforce the outlook ahead of observational resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Dallas em 26 de março?
Temperatura mais alta em Dallas em 26 de março?
84-85°F 100.0%
79°F ou menos <1%
80-81°F <1%
82-83°F <1%
$182,453 Vol.
$182,453 Vol.
79°F ou menos
Não
80-81°F
Não
82-83°F
Não
84-85°F
Sim
30-31°C
Não
88-89°F
Não
32-33°C
Não
92-93°F
Não
94-95°F
Não
96-97°F
Não
98°F ou mais
Não
84-85°F 100.0%
79°F ou menos <1%
80-81°F <1%
82-83°F <1%
$182,453 Vol.
$182,453 Vol.
79°F ou menos
Não
80-81°F
Não
82-83°F
Não
84-85°F
Sim
30-31°C
Não
88-89°F
Não
32-33°C
Não
92-93°F
Não
94-95°F
Não
96-97°F
Não
98°F ou mais
Não
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 22, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
National Weather Service forecasts and major models like the GFS and ECMWF have converged on a high temperature of 84-85°F in Dallas on March 26, driving trader consensus to near-certainty on this outcome as reflected in the 100% implied probability. This positioning stems from a persistent high-pressure ridge over Texas fostering clear skies, southwesterly winds, and warm air advection from the south, with latest 12Z model runs showing remarkable agreement within 1°F. Late March climatology in Dallas averages 70-72°F highs, making this an above-normal event amid broader southern warmth patterns. Realistic challenges include unexpected low-level clouds or a wind shift, potentially trimming 2-3°F, though high-resolution HRRR updates through evening reinforce the outlook ahead of observational resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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