Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a Dallas high temperature of 86-87°F on March 19, driven by the National Weather Service's latest forecast pinning the peak at 86°F amid a persistent upper-level ridge amplifying heat over North Texas. Ensemble models from GFS and ECMWF show tight agreement, with 12-km HRRR runs reinforcing this through dewpoint depressions supporting daytime heating to those levels. Historical March data for Dallas-Fort Worth averages 67°F highs, making this an outlier but consistent with early-spring warm surges. Realistic challenges include an unexpected dryline bulge or nocturnal cold front surge, though low-probability per current 500-mb charts, potentially nudging temps toward 88°F or higher if heating accelerates unchecked.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Dallas em 19 de março?
Temperatura mais alta em Dallas em 19 de março?
30-31°C 100.0%
73°F ou menos <1%
74-75°F <1%
76-77°F <1%
$100,913 Vol.
$100,913 Vol.
73°F ou menos
Não
74-75°F
Não
76-77°F
Não
78-79°F
Não
80-81°F
Não
82-83°F
Não
84-85°F
Não
30-31°C
Sim
88-89°F
Não
90-91°F
Não
92°F ou mais
Não
30-31°C 100.0%
73°F ou menos <1%
74-75°F <1%
76-77°F <1%
$100,913 Vol.
$100,913 Vol.
73°F ou menos
Não
74-75°F
Não
76-77°F
Não
78-79°F
Não
80-81°F
Não
82-83°F
Não
84-85°F
Não
30-31°C
Sim
88-89°F
Não
90-91°F
Não
92°F ou mais
Não
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 15, 2026, 6:03 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a Dallas high temperature of 86-87°F on March 19, driven by the National Weather Service's latest forecast pinning the peak at 86°F amid a persistent upper-level ridge amplifying heat over North Texas. Ensemble models from GFS and ECMWF show tight agreement, with 12-km HRRR runs reinforcing this through dewpoint depressions supporting daytime heating to those levels. Historical March data for Dallas-Fort Worth averages 67°F highs, making this an outlier but consistent with early-spring warm surges. Realistic challenges include an unexpected dryline bulge or nocturnal cold front surge, though low-probability per current 500-mb charts, potentially nudging temps toward 88°F or higher if heating accelerates unchecked.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
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