Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a highest temperature of 16°C in Chongqing on March 28, with 100% implied probability, driven by real-time observations from Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport and China Meteorological Administration stations showing peak readings at exactly 16°C under persistent overcast skies and light rain. Thick cloud cover suppressed solar heating, limiting daytime highs despite early forecasts around 20°C, aligning with a cool frontal system influencing the region. Hourly METAR data confirms no exceedance, reflecting spring climatology where March averages hover near 17°C but vary with moisture-laden air masses. Scenarios challenging this include an improbable late-afternoon clearing yielding a higher peripheral station report before resolution, though current trends and proximity to day's end minimize such risks. Final CMA daily summary expected soon.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Chongqing on March 28?
Highest temperature in Chongqing on March 28?
16°C 100.0%
14°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
17°C <1%
$72,420 Vol.
$72,420 Vol.
14°C or below
No
15°C
No
16°C
Yes
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C or higher
No
16°C 100.0%
14°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
17°C <1%
$72,420 Vol.
$72,420 Vol.
14°C or below
No
15°C
No
16°C
Yes
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 24, 2026, 6:26 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: No
Sem contestação
Resultado final: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: No
Sem contestação
Resultado final: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a highest temperature of 16°C in Chongqing on March 28, with 100% implied probability, driven by real-time observations from Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport and China Meteorological Administration stations showing peak readings at exactly 16°C under persistent overcast skies and light rain. Thick cloud cover suppressed solar heating, limiting daytime highs despite early forecasts around 20°C, aligning with a cool frontal system influencing the region. Hourly METAR data confirms no exceedance, reflecting spring climatology where March averages hover near 17°C but vary with moisture-laden air masses. Scenarios challenging this include an improbable late-afternoon clearing yielding a higher peripheral station report before resolution, though current trends and proximity to day's end minimize such risks. Final CMA daily summary expected soon.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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