Market icon
Economia·PIB

Crescimento Anual do PIB da Zona Euro 2026

Market icon
Economia·PIB

Crescimento Anual do PIB da Zona Euro 2026

jan 31, 2027

jan 31, 2027

0-1,0% 38.3%

1,0-2,0% 31%

<0% 23.5%

2,0-3,0% 18%

Polymarket
NOVO

0-1,0% 38.3%

1,0-2,0% 31%

<0% 23.5%

2,0-3,0% 18%

Polymarket
NOVO

<0%

$0 Vol.

26%

0-1,0%

$414 Vol.

38%

1,0-2,0%

$0 Vol.

31%

2,0-3,0%

$0 Vol.

18%

3,0-4,0%

$0 Vol.

19%

4,0-5,0%

$1,359 Vol.

3%

5,0-6,0%

$0 Vol.

15%

6,0-7,0%

$524 Vol.

12%

7,0%+

$0 Vol.

10%

This market will resolve according to the estimation of Euro Area (Eurozone) annual GDP growth for the full year of 2026 (% change), based on seasonally and calendar adjusted quarterly data, as reported in the "GDP and employment flash estimates for the fourth quarter of 2026" flash release for Q4 of 2026, scheduled to be released in January 2027. The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If no data for the Euro Area GDP growth rate for the full year of 2026 is included in this release, this market will resolve according to the Euro Area GDP growth rate for Q4 2026, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year. If no data is released for either the full year or fourth quarter of 2026 by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year. Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.Polymarket trader consensus prices Eurozone 2026 annual GDP growth at 0-1% with 38% implied probability, closely followed by 1-2% at 31% and contraction risk below 0% at 26%, reflecting subdued expansion amid heightened uncertainty. ECB staff March 2026 projections pinpoint 0.9% growth—down 0.3 percentage points from December—driven by Middle East war-induced energy shocks, with oil peaking near $90 per barrel and gas at €50/MWh in Q2, offsetting fiscal stimulus from defense and infrastructure spending. Sticky headline inflation at 2.6% average limits ECB rate cuts, while Q4 2025 GDP rose just 0.2% quarter-on-quarter. Key differentiators include Q1 flash GDP release on April 29 and energy price trajectory, with prolonged conflict tilting toward contraction versus stabilization favoring 1-2% growth.

This market will resolve according to the estimation of Euro Area (Eurozone) annual GDP growth for the full year of 2026 (% change), based on seasonally and calendar adjusted quarterly data, as reported in the "GDP and employment flash estimates for the fourth quarter of 2026" flash release for Q4 of 2026, scheduled to be released in January 2027.

The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If no data for the Euro Area GDP growth rate for the full year of 2026 is included in this release, this market will resolve according to the Euro Area GDP growth rate for Q4 2026, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year. If no data is released for either the full year or fourth quarter of 2026 by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year.

Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$2,297
Data de Término
31 jan 2027
Mercado Aberto
Jan 21, 2026, 7:29 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the estimation of Euro Area (Eurozone) annual GDP growth for the full year of 2026 (% change), based on seasonally and calendar adjusted quarterly data, as reported in the "GDP and employment flash estimates for the fourth quarter of 2026" flash release for Q4 of 2026, scheduled to be released in January 2027. The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If no data for the Euro Area GDP growth rate for the full year of 2026 is included in this release, this market will resolve according to the Euro Area GDP growth rate for Q4 2026, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year. If no data is released for either the full year or fourth quarter of 2026 by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year. Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
This market will resolve according to the estimation of Euro Area (Eurozone) annual GDP growth for the full year of 2026 (% change), based on seasonally and calendar adjusted quarterly data, as reported in the "GDP and employment flash estimates for the fourth quarter of 2026" flash release for Q4 of 2026, scheduled to be released in January 2027. The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If no data for the Euro Area GDP growth rate for the full year of 2026 is included in this release, this market will resolve according to the Euro Area GDP growth rate for Q4 2026, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year. If no data is released for either the full year or fourth quarter of 2026 by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year. Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.Polymarket trader consensus prices Eurozone 2026 annual GDP growth at 0-1% with 38% implied probability, closely followed by 1-2% at 31% and contraction risk below 0% at 26%, reflecting subdued expansion amid heightened uncertainty. ECB staff March 2026 projections pinpoint 0.9% growth—down 0.3 percentage points from December—driven by Middle East war-induced energy shocks, with oil peaking near $90 per barrel and gas at €50/MWh in Q2, offsetting fiscal stimulus from defense and infrastructure spending. Sticky headline inflation at 2.6% average limits ECB rate cuts, while Q4 2025 GDP rose just 0.2% quarter-on-quarter. Key differentiators include Q1 flash GDP release on April 29 and energy price trajectory, with prolonged conflict tilting toward contraction versus stabilization favoring 1-2% growth.

This market will resolve according to the estimation of Euro Area (Eurozone) annual GDP growth for the full year of 2026 (% change), based on seasonally and calendar adjusted quarterly data, as reported in the "GDP and employment flash estimates for the fourth quarter of 2026" flash release for Q4 of 2026, scheduled to be released in January 2027.

The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If no data for the Euro Area GDP growth rate for the full year of 2026 is included in this release, this market will resolve according to the Euro Area GDP growth rate for Q4 2026, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year. If no data is released for either the full year or fourth quarter of 2026 by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year.

Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$2,297
Data de Término
31 jan 2027
Mercado Aberto
Jan 21, 2026, 7:29 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the estimation of Euro Area (Eurozone) annual GDP growth for the full year of 2026 (% change), based on seasonally and calendar adjusted quarterly data, as reported in the "GDP and employment flash estimates for the fourth quarter of 2026" flash release for Q4 of 2026, scheduled to be released in January 2027. The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If no data for the Euro Area GDP growth rate for the full year of 2026 is included in this release, this market will resolve according to the Euro Area GDP growth rate for Q4 2026, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year. If no data is released for either the full year or fourth quarter of 2026 by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year. Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Crescimento Anual do PIB da Zona Euro 2026" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 9 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "0-1,0%" at 38%, followed by "1,0-2,0%" at 31%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 38¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 38% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Crescimento Anual do PIB da Zona Euro 2026" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Jan 22, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Crescimento Anual do PIB da Zona Euro 2026," browse the 9 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Crescimento Anual do PIB da Zona Euro 2026" is "0-1,0%" at 38%, meaning the market assigns a 38% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "1,0-2,0%" at 31%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Crescimento Anual do PIB da Zona Euro 2026" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.