Incumbent Senator John Hickenlooper dominates trader consensus at 66.5% implied probability for the Colorado Democratic Senate primary, driven by his strong fundraising, statewide name recognition from prior governorship, and institutional party support amid the 2026 cycle. State Senator Julie Gonzales trails at 19.8%, bolstered by progressive endorsements criticizing Hickenlooper's Israel policy stance, following her late 2024 challenge announcement that has energized the left flank. Lower-tier candidates like Karen Breslin (4.2%) and Michael Scanlan (2.2%) draw niche support but lack broad momentum, with odds reflecting historical incumbency advantages in primaries where challengers rarely overcome established records. Upcoming candidate filings and early polls could shift sentiment.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoJohn Hickenlooper 67%
Julie Gonzales 24.1%
Karen Breslin 4.1%
Michael Scanlon 2.2%
John Hickenlooper
67%
Julie Gonzales
22%
Karen Breslin
4%
Michael Scanlon
2%
Nichole Miner
1%
Brashad Hasley
1%
Anthony Zimpfer
1%
John Hickenlooper 67%
Julie Gonzales 24.1%
Karen Breslin 4.1%
Michael Scanlon 2.2%
John Hickenlooper
67%
Julie Gonzales
22%
Karen Breslin
4%
Michael Scanlon
2%
Nichole Miner
1%
Brashad Hasley
1%
Anthony Zimpfer
1%
If no 2026 Colorado Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Colorado Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Mercado Aberto: Nov 13, 2025, 1:49 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Senator John Hickenlooper dominates trader consensus at 66.5% implied probability for the Colorado Democratic Senate primary, driven by his strong fundraising, statewide name recognition from prior governorship, and institutional party support amid the 2026 cycle. State Senator Julie Gonzales trails at 19.8%, bolstered by progressive endorsements criticizing Hickenlooper's Israel policy stance, following her late 2024 challenge announcement that has energized the left flank. Lower-tier candidates like Karen Breslin (4.2%) and Michael Scanlan (2.2%) draw niche support but lack broad momentum, with odds reflecting historical incumbency advantages in primaries where challengers rarely overcome established records. Upcoming candidate filings and early polls could shift sentiment.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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