Market icon

3rd largest company end of April?

Market icon

3rd largest company end of April?

Alphabet 66%

Apple 26%

NVIDIA 2.6%

Microsoft 1.0%

Polymarket

$671,751 Vol.

Alphabet 66%

Apple 26%

NVIDIA 2.6%

Microsoft 1.0%

Polymarket

$671,751 Vol.

Market icon

Alphabet

$2,747 Vol.

66%

Market icon

Apple

$14,405 Vol.

26%

Market icon

NVIDIA

$607,684 Vol.

3%

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Microsoft

$1,023 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Saudi Aramco

$18,875 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Oracle

$23,867 Vol.

1%

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Tesla

$2,019 Vol.

<1%

Market icon

Amazon

$1,130 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Alphabet's blockbuster Q1 earnings on April 25—featuring 15% revenue growth to $80.5 billion, 28% cloud segment expansion, and upbeat AI guidance—propelled shares up 11.9% to $173, elevating market cap to approximately $2.18 trillion and fueling 66.5% implied probability for third-largest status by April 30. Traders' consensus prices Alphabet to narrowly trail Microsoft ($3.15 trillion) and edge NVIDIA ($2.40 trillion, down from peaks amid volatility), overtaking Apple's $2.88 trillion amid iPhone sales concerns ahead of its May 2 report. Lower odds for Microsoft (1.1%) and others reflect entrenched top-two positioning, with Saudi Aramco (0.9%) stable but distant at $1.9 trillion on tepid oil demand. Key watch: end-month trading volume and tech sector rotation.

This market will resolve to the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30, 2026, as of market close.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$671,751
Data de Término
Apr 30, 2026
Mercado Aberto
Mar 20, 2026, 6:36 PM ET
This market will resolve to the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Alphabet's blockbuster Q1 earnings on April 25—featuring 15% revenue growth to $80.5 billion, 28% cloud segment expansion, and upbeat AI guidance—propelled shares up 11.9% to $173, elevating market cap to approximately $2.18 trillion and fueling 66.5% implied probability for third-largest status by April 30. Traders' consensus prices Alphabet to narrowly trail Microsoft ($3.15 trillion) and edge NVIDIA ($2.40 trillion, down from peaks amid volatility), overtaking Apple's $2.88 trillion amid iPhone sales concerns ahead of its May 2 report. Lower odds for Microsoft (1.1%) and others reflect entrenched top-two positioning, with Saudi Aramco (0.9%) stable but distant at $1.9 trillion on tepid oil demand. Key watch: end-month trading volume and tech sector rotation.

Alphabet's blockbuster Q1 earnings on April 25—featuring 15% revenue growth to $80.5 billion, 28% cloud segment expansion, and upbeat AI guidance—propelled shares up 11.9% to $173, elevating market cap to approximately $2.18 trillion and fueling 66.5% implied probability for third-largest status by April 30. Traders' consensus prices Alphabet to narrowly trail Microsoft ($3.15 trillion) and edge NVIDIA ($2.40 trillion, down from peaks amid volatility), overtaking Apple's $2.88 trillion amid iPhone sales concerns ahead of its May 2 report. Lower odds for Microsoft (1.1%) and others reflect entrenched top-two positioning, with Saudi Aramco (0.9%) stable but distant at $1.9 trillion on tepid oil demand. Key watch: end-month trading volume and tech sector rotation.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"3rd largest company end of April?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 8 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Alphabet" at 66%, followed by "Apple" at 26%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 66¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 66% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "3rd largest company end of April?" has generated $671.8K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 20, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "3rd largest company end of April?," browse the 8 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "3rd largest company end of April?" is "Alphabet" at 66%, meaning the market assigns a 66% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Apple" at 26%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "3rd largest company end of April?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.