Media predictions & odds

Politics·UK

UK social media ban in effect by…?

$2.6K Vol.

$9.8K Liq.

Ends in 10 months

41%

June 30, 2027

$2.6K Vol.

$9.8K Liq.

Ends in 10 months

Mentions·Social Media

Myspace relaunched in 2026?

$100 Vol.

$623 Liq.

Ends in 4 months

21%

$100 Vol.

$623 Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Finance·Acquisitions

Trump Media x TAE Technologies merger closed by July 31?

$732 Vol.

$38 Liq.

Ends in 4 months

49%

December 31

$732 Vol.

$38 Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Politics·Pmqs

What will Andy Burnham say at the next Prime Minister's Questions event?

$10.7K Vol.

$7 Liq.

Ends in 21 days

100%

Speaker 10+ times

$10.7K Vol.

$7 Liq.

Ends in 21 days

Culture·Art

Will Banksy post to Instagram by September 30?

$953 Vol.

$488 Liq.

Ends in 21 days

29%

$953 Vol.

$488 Liq.

Ends in 21 days

Culture·Art

Will the Salvator Mundi be publicly exhibited by December 31?

$2.5K Vol.

$792 Liq.

Ends in 4 months

$2.5K Vol.

$792 Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Geopolitics·Iran

Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...?

$11M Vol.

$72.3K today

$336K Liq.

Ends in 7 months

55%

March 31, 2027

$11M Vol.

$72.3K today

$336K Liq.

Ends in 7 months

Geopolitics·Iran

Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be...?

$6M Vol.

$946K Liq.

Ends in 21 days

93%

No Meeting by September 30

$6M Vol.

$946K Liq.

Ends in 21 days

Tech·AI

Next Muse Spark (1.4+) released by...?

$10.2K Vol.

$3.4K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

85%

October 31

$10.2K Vol.

$3.4K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Geopolitics·Iran

Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?

$471K Vol.

$351K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

23%

Steve Witkoff

$471K Vol.

$351K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Geopolitics·Putin

Russia x Ukraine peace talks by...?

$643K Vol.

$178K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

75%

December 31

$643K Vol.

$178K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Tech·Kaito

How high will Polymarket's mindshare go by December 31?

$26.4K Vol.

$4.3K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

10%

80%

$26.4K Vol.

$4.3K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Elections·President

Who will announce Presidential run before 2027?

$1M Vol.

$778K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

13%

Gavin Newsom

$1M Vol.

$778K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Politics·Court Cases

Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by...?

$591K Vol.

$126K Liq.

172

Ends in over 1 year

December 31, 2026

$591K Vol.

$126K Liq.

172

Ends in over 1 year

Geopolitics·Iran

Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...?

$7M Vol.

$117K Liq.

425

Ends in 4 months

21%

December 31

$7M Vol.

$117K Liq.

425

Ends in 4 months

Elections·Denmark

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

$35M Vol.

$231K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

$35M Vol.

$231K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Geopolitics·Putin

Russia x Ukraine any diplomatic meeting by...?

$159K Vol.

$85.8K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

89%

December 31

$159K Vol.

$85.8K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Geopolitics·China

Hu Jintao public appearance by December 31?

$6.2K Vol.

$9.5K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

$6.2K Vol.

$9.5K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Geopolitics·Iran

Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by...?

$433K Vol.

$68.8K Liq.

Ends in 21 days

71%

September 30

$433K Vol.

$68.8K Liq.

Ends in 21 days

Politics·Trump

Trump renames New Mexico to New America by...?

$112K Vol.

$81.2K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

December 31

$112K Vol.

$81.2K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Sort by

Event Status

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Media.

Polymarket currently hosts 500 active markets for Media that lets you track or trade on predictions like “UK social media ban in effect by…?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $62.8M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Hu Jintao public appearance by December 31?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 97% chance to No. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Media predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.

Polymarket is accurate more than 94% of the time an entire month before an outcome is definitively known. Prediction markets aggregate wisdom from informed users, often outperforming experts. For more context, view these stats on Polymarket’s accuracy.

Yes. You can treat this page as a live data source and watch how the odds for Media shift in real-time. It’s a free way to track market sentiment on major outcomes like “Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...?” without ever needing to place a trade.

Sign up and fund your account with crypto, credit/debit card, or bank transfer. Browse the Media prediction markets, and when you’re ready you can buy shares in your picks.

Market resolution relies on trusted or official data sources. For complete clarity, you can check the “Rules” section on any individual market page like “UK social media ban in effect by…?,” to see the exact criteria and sources used to determine the winner.

Frequently Asked Questions

Sign up and fund your account with crypto, credit/debit card, or bank transfer. Browse the Media prediction markets, and when you’re ready you can buy shares in your picks.

Media predictions & odds

Frequently Asked Questions

What is Polymarket?

What types of Media prediction markets can I trade on Polymarket?

How do Media markets work on Polymarket?

What is the current top Media prediction?

Why use Polymarket for Media predictions?

How accurate are Polymarket’s Media odds?

Can I track Media predictions without trading?

How do I get started with Media markets on Polymarket?

How are markets resolved?

Frequently Asked Questions

What is Polymarket?

What types of Media prediction markets can I trade on Polymarket?

How do Media markets work on Polymarket?

What is the current top Media prediction?

Why use Polymarket for Media predictions?

How accurate are Polymarket’s Media odds?

Can I track Media predictions without trading?

How do I get started with Media markets on Polymarket?

How are markets resolved?

Media predictions & odds