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Kurds predictions & odds

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Kurds declare independence from Iran?

Kurds declare independence from Iran?

4%

$141K Vol.

$20.7K Liq.

12

Ends in about 1 month

KRG declares independence from Iraq by December 31?

KRG declares independence from Iraq by December 31?

9%

$52.8K Vol.

$22.6K Liq.

3

Ends in 8 months

Nechirvan Barzani out as Kurdistan Regional Government President?

Nechirvan Barzani out as Kurdistan Regional Government President?

5%

$16.8K Vol.

$3.6K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by...?

Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by...?

4%

May 31

$146K Vol.

$21.3K Liq.

10

Khamenei # posts May 15 - May 22, 2026?

Khamenei # posts May 15 - May 22, 2026?

49%

<5

$1.9K Vol.

$2.8K Liq.

Ends in 5 days

MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

96%

December 31, 2026

$3M Vol.

$4.2K Liq.

125

Ends in about 1 month

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

62%

$568K Vol.

$20.8K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Türkiye vs. United States

Türkiye vs. United States

53%

Türkiye

$43 Vol.

$42.2K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?

Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?

11%

$349K Vol.

$47.2K Liq.

5

Ends in 8 months

Türkiye vs. Paraguay

Türkiye vs. Paraguay

44%

Türkiye

$434 Vol.

$21.3K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Galatasaray SK vs. Trabzonspor

Galatasaray SK vs. Trabzonspor

50%

Galatasaray SK

$219 Vol.

$5 Liq.

Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?

Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?

19%

$199K Vol.

$47.6K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Fenerbahçe SK vs. Samsunspor

Fenerbahçe SK vs. Samsunspor

94%

Draw (Fenerbahçe SK vs. Samsunspor)

$5.6K Vol.

$16.4K Liq.

Ends in 15 days

What will Trump post this week? (May 24)

What will Trump post this week? (May 24)

86%

Big / Bigger / Biggest

$1.9K Vol.

$6.4K Liq.

Ends in 6 days

Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?

Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?

40%

June 30

$18M Vol.

$151K today

$219K Liq.

478

Ends in about 1 month

Türkiye vs. North Macedonia

Türkiye vs. North Macedonia

49%

Draw (Türkiye vs. North Macedonia)

$1 Vol.

$789 Liq.

Ends in 15 days

What floor price will CryptoPunks hit before 2027?

What floor price will CryptoPunks hit before 2027?

65%

↓ 20 ETH

$15.0K Vol.

$2.9K Liq.

4

Ends in 8 months

Counter-Strike: MASQ vs Invicta (BO3) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Group Stage

Counter-Strike: MASQ vs Invicta (BO3) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Group Stage

64%

Invicta

$130 Vol.

$4.2K Liq.

Ends in about 21 hours

What will Trump post this week? (May 11 - May 17)

What will Trump post this week? (May 11 - May 17)

94%

Baby

$11.1K Vol.

$671 Liq.

Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...?

Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...?

33%

December 31

$28.6K Vol.

$249K Liq.

5

Ends in 8 months

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Kurds.

Polymarket currently hosts 101 active markets for Kurds that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Kurds declare independence from Iran?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $22.4M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 40% chance to June 30. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Kurds predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.