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Gpt 4 predictions & odds

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OpenAI GPT score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?

OpenAI GPT score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?

31%

50%+

$21.9K Vol.

$1.3K Liq.

1

Ends in about 2 months

OpenAI GPT score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?

OpenAI GPT score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?

12%

60%+

$32.1K Vol.

$1.9K Liq.

4

Ends in about 2 months

Best AI model on May 16? (Style Control Off)

Best AI model on May 16? (Style Control Off)

92%

claude-opus-4-6-thinking

$7.6K Vol.

$23.3K Liq.

Ends in 6 days

GPT-5.6 released by...?

GPT-5.6 released by...?

88%

July 31

$21.9K Vol.

$18.7K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

GPT-6 released by…?

GPT-6 released by…?

89%

December 31, 2026

$301K Vol.

$10.8K Liq.

45

Counter-Strike: GenOne vs Ursa (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 1 Group Stage

Counter-Strike: GenOne vs Ursa (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 1 Group Stage

GenOne

$51.9K Vol.

$51.9K today

$0 Liq.

# of ChatGPT Outage Days in May 2026?

# of ChatGPT Outage Days in May 2026?

29%

2

$14.7K Vol.

$3.6K Liq.

Ends in 21 days

Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by...?

Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by...?

94%

September 30

$6.4K Vol.

$13.6K Liq.

Ends in 5 months

Counter-Strike: ENJOY vs LFO (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #4 Playoffs

Counter-Strike: ENJOY vs LFO (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #4 Playoffs

100%

ENJOY

$904 Vol.

$0 Liq.

How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?

How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?

56%

0

$1M Vol.

$35.2K Liq.

10

Ends in 11 months

Counter-Strike: ZOTIX vs WROTBERRY (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #4 Playoffs

Counter-Strike: ZOTIX vs WROTBERRY (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #4 Playoffs

100%

ZOTIX

$1.8K Vol.

$0 Liq.

Counter-Strike: Skele vs LE-LUX Esports (BO3) - CCT Oceania Series #4 Group B

Counter-Strike: Skele vs LE-LUX Esports (BO3) - CCT Oceania Series #4 Group B

Skele

$4.6K Vol.

$0 Liq.

Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs INOX Division (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 1 Group Stage

Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs INOX Division (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 1 Group Stage

62%

INOX Division

$23 Vol.

$3.4K Liq.

Ends in 1 day

Counter-Strike: MOUZ NXT vs UNiTY esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 1 Group Stage

Counter-Strike: MOUZ NXT vs UNiTY esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 1 Group Stage

77%

UNiTY esports

$37.9K Vol.

$32.4K Liq.

Ends in about 6 hours

Counter-Strike: mixmix vs CYBERSHOKE Prospects (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #4 Playoffs

Counter-Strike: mixmix vs CYBERSHOKE Prospects (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #4 Playoffs

100%

CYBERSHOKE Prospects

$2.8K Vol.

$0 Liq.

Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?

Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?

8%

$50.0K Vol.

$8.0K Liq.

9

Ends in about 2 months

English Premier League - Top 4 Finish

English Premier League - Top 4 Finish

82%

Manchester United

$2M Vol.

$50.2K Liq.

22

Ends in 17 days

Counter-Strike: Favbet vs Oxuji Esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 1 Group Stage

Counter-Strike: Favbet vs Oxuji Esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 1 Group Stage

62%

Favbet

$6 Vol.

$3.9K Liq.

Ends in 1 day

Counter-Strike: banda chuya vs Young TigeRES (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #4 Playoffs

Counter-Strike: banda chuya vs Young TigeRES (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #4 Playoffs

100%

Young TigeRES

$3.7K Vol.

Major US official out by May 31?

Major US official out by May 31?

43%

$4.7K Vol.

$9.0K Liq.

1

Ends in 21 days

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Gpt 4.

Polymarket currently hosts 104 active markets for Gpt 4 that lets you track or trade on predictions like “OpenAI GPT score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $3.4M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “English Premier League - Top 4 Finish ,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “English Premier League - Top 4 Finish ,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 100% chance to Arsenal. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Gpt 4 predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.