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Funding Bill predictions & odds

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When will the DHS shutdown end?

When will the DHS shutdown end?

77%

After April 30

$926K Vol.

$104K Liq.

Ends in 13 days

How long will the DHS shutdown last?

How long will the DHS shutdown last?

82%

70+ days

$1M Vol.

$12.8K Liq.

Will France pass a national budget by December 31?

Will France pass a national budget by December 31?

41%

$5.8K Vol.

$17.4K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

Anthropic $500B+ valuation in 2026?

Anthropic $500B+ valuation in 2026?

93%

$13.4K Vol.

$9.6K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

Which bills will become law in 2026?

Which bills will become law in 2026?

71%

Critical-minerals stockpile

$48.9K Vol.

$23.9K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

Will the Senate pass the SAVE America Act (H.R. 7296)?

Will the Senate pass the SAVE America Act (H.R. 7296)?

2%

$39.6K Vol.

$57.5K Liq.

Ends in 13 days

FISA Section 702 reauthorized before it expires?

FISA Section 702 reauthorized before it expires?

39%

$19.6K Vol.

$16.6K Liq.

Ends in 2 days

Meek Mill gets Y Combinator funding by June 30?

Meek Mill gets Y Combinator funding by June 30?

3%

$33.0K Vol.

$14.0K Liq.

3

Ends in 2 months

OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?

OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?

4%

$103K Vol.

$8.2K Liq.

2

Ends in 2 months

How many pieces of legislation will Trump sign into law in March?

How many pieces of legislation will Trump sign into law in March?

99%

4

$29.5K Vol.

$9.9K Liq.

U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?

U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?

27%

$87.2K Vol.

$9.0K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

How many pieces of legislation will Trump sign into law in April?

How many pieces of legislation will Trump sign into law in April?

37%

7+

$14.0K Vol.

$27.3K Liq.

Ends in 13 days

US Treasury transactions on blockchain by June 30?

US Treasury transactions on blockchain by June 30?

21%

$945 Vol.

$219 Liq.

Ends in 2 months

Colorado bill to decriminalize sex work becomes law in 2026?

Colorado bill to decriminalize sex work becomes law in 2026?

12%

$517 Vol.

$8.6K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?

Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?

65%

$536K Vol.

$18.4K Liq.

39

Ends in 9 months

Blue tsunami in 2026?

Blue tsunami in 2026?

54%

$23.2K Vol.

$23.3K Liq.

1

Ends in 8 months

Will the GOP use 'Nuclear Option' to break filibuster by...?

Will the GOP use 'Nuclear Option' to break filibuster by...?

40%

December 31, 2026

$559K Vol.

$695 Liq.

28

Fed decisions (Mar-Jun)

Fed decisions (Mar-Jun)

88%

Pause–Pause–Pause

$904K Vol.

$110K today

$105K Liq.

Ends in 2 months

What will happen before Kevin Warsh is confirmed?

What will happen before Kevin Warsh is confirmed?

4%

Fed Rate Cut

$174K Vol.

$33.4K Liq.

3

Ends in 7 months

H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026?

H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026?

10%

$150K Vol.

$34.9K Liq.

19

Ends in 9 months

Frequently Asked Questions

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Polymarket currently hosts 105 active markets for Funding Bill that lets you track or trade on predictions like “When will the DHS shutdown end?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $5.1M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “How long will the DHS shutdown last?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “How long will the DHS shutdown last?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 100% chance to 5+ days. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Funding Bill predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.