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Funding Bill predictions & odds

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Will France pass a national budget by December 31?

Will France pass a national budget by December 31?

44%

$6.1K Vol.

$2.4K Liq.

2

Ends in 8 months

Anthropic $500B+ valuation in 2026?

Anthropic $500B+ valuation in 2026?

98%

$22.2K Vol.

$12.2K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by...?

Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by...?

70%

May 31

$7.9K Vol.

$45.9K Liq.

Ends in 24 days

Which bills will become law in 2026?

Which bills will become law in 2026?

73%

FISA Section 702 reauthorization

$92.1K Vol.

$40.6K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

FISA Section 702 reauthorized before it expires?

FISA Section 702 reauthorized before it expires?

97%

$38.8K Vol.

$12.8K Liq.

Meek Mill gets Y Combinator funding by June 30?

Meek Mill gets Y Combinator funding by June 30?

3%

$38.1K Vol.

$4.3K Liq.

3

Ends in about 2 months

OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?

OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?

3%

$104K Vol.

$20.5K Liq.

2

Ends in about 2 months

U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?

U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?

28%

$98.0K Vol.

$11.6K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Anthropic next funding round closed by...?

Anthropic next funding round closed by...?

96%

December 31

$9.6K Vol.

$12.3K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

𝕏 Money launched by...?

𝕏 Money launched by...?

36%

May 31

$37.8K Vol.

$44 Liq.

4

US Treasury transactions on blockchain by June 30?

US Treasury transactions on blockchain by June 30?

33%

$1.3K Vol.

$68 Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Colorado bill to decriminalize sex work becomes law in 2026?

Colorado bill to decriminalize sex work becomes law in 2026?

15%

$604 Vol.

$5.3K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?

Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?

65%

$631K Vol.

$26.6K Liq.

58

Ends in 8 months

Blue tsunami in 2026?

Blue tsunami in 2026?

49%

$24.9K Vol.

$27.9K Liq.

1

Ends in 7 months

Will the GOP use 'Nuclear Option' to break filibuster by...?

Will the GOP use 'Nuclear Option' to break filibuster by...?

22%

December 31, 2026

$560K Vol.

$11.5K Liq.

28

Fed decisions (Mar-Jun)

Fed decisions (Mar-Jun)

95%

Pause–Pause–Pause

$1M Vol.

$45.6K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

What will happen before Kevin Warsh is confirmed?

What will happen before Kevin Warsh is confirmed?

1%

US Confirms Aliens Exist

$230K Vol.

$23.2K Liq.

3

Ends in 6 months

H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026?

H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026?

10%

$165K Vol.

$26.1K Liq.

19

Ends in 8 months

Major U.S. bank bailout before 2027?

Major U.S. bank bailout before 2027?

9%

$3.2K Vol.

$1.2K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Will Trump reduce the deficit before 2027?

Will Trump reduce the deficit before 2027?

13%

$997 Vol.

$625 Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Frequently Asked Questions

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Polymarket currently hosts 110 active markets for Funding Bill that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Will France pass a national budget by December 31?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $3.1M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Fed decisions (Mar-Jun),” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Fed decisions (Mar-Jun),” where the crowd is currently assigning a 95% chance to Pause–Pause–Pause. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Funding Bill predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.