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Crypto Policy predictions & odds

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Total crypto hack value in 2026?

Total crypto hack value in 2026?

92%

>$1B

$59.9K Vol.

$5.3K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Another crypto hack over $100M by ___?

Another crypto hack over $100M by ___?

79%

December 31

$3.9K Vol.

$1.8K Liq.

2

Ends in 8 months

Trump eliminates capital gains tax on crypto by ___?

Trump eliminates capital gains tax on crypto by ___?

5%

December 31, 2026

$107K Vol.

$13.0K Liq.

19

Did a crypto hedge fund blow up?

Did a crypto hedge fund blow up?

28%

$19.3K Vol.

$730 Liq.

2

Ends in 5 days

Record crypto liquidation in 2026?

Record crypto liquidation in 2026?

10%

$67.0K Vol.

$1.8K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

What will Trump say during bilateral events with Xi Jinping?

What will Trump say during bilateral events with Xi Jinping?

74%

Iran

$30.2K Vol.

$62.7K Liq.

7

Ends in 5 days

What will Trump post this week? (May 4 - May 10)

What will Trump post this week? (May 4 - May 10)

36%

Venezuela

$7.7K Vol.

$496 Liq.

Ends in about 4 hours

What will be said on ICEMAN?

What will be said on ICEMAN?

87%

Daddy

$58.9K Vol.

$4.1K Liq.

14

Ends in 5 days

What will the NYT front-page headlines say this week? (May 4 - May 10)

What will the NYT front-page headlines say this week? (May 4 - May 10)

46%

JD / Vance

$7.7K Vol.

$715 Liq.

7

Ends in about 4 hours

What will Trump post this week? (May 11 - May 17)

What will Trump post this week? (May 11 - May 17)

43%

Game

$22 Vol.

$2.4K Liq.

Ends in 7 days

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

71%

$554K Vol.

$23.6K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Will a new country buy Bitcoin by...?

Will a new country buy Bitcoin by...?

55%

December 31, 2026

$29.5K Vol.

$7.1K Liq.

24

Ends in 8 months

US Treasury transactions on blockchain by June 30?

US Treasury transactions on blockchain by June 30?

17%

$1.5K Vol.

$931 Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?

Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?

73%

$650K Vol.

$24.0K Liq.

58

Ends in 8 months

What will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit in 2026?

What will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit in 2026?

43%

↓ 30

$21.8K Vol.

$120 Liq.

3

Ends in 8 months

US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?

US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?

33%

$37.5K Vol.

$16.2K Liq.

1

Ends in 8 months

Another S&P 500 Company buys Bitcoin by ___?

Another S&P 500 Company buys Bitcoin by ___?

28%

December 31, 2026

$145K Vol.

$898 Liq.

31

Will Bitcoin kimchi premium hit 8% in 2026?

Will Bitcoin kimchi premium hit 8% in 2026?

71%

$1.4K Vol.

$257 Liq.

Ends in 8 months

What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?

What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?

69%

↑ 90,000

$36M Vol.

$165K today

$2M Liq.

Ends in 8 months

What price will XRP hit in 2026?

What price will XRP hit in 2026?

53%

↓ 1.00

$161K Vol.

$77.8K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Frequently Asked Questions

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Polymarket currently hosts 125 active markets for Crypto Policy that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Total crypto hack value in 2026?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $37.8M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

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As of today, the most active market is “What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 100% chance to ↓ 85,000. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

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