Trove founder arrested by March 31?

Trove founder arrested by March 31?

<1%

$15.9K Vol.

$5.5K Liq.

4

Ends in about 3 hours

Eric Adams arrested by March 31?

Eric Adams arrested by March 31?

<1%

$17.4K Vol.

$14.2K Liq.

2

Another crypto hack over $100m by ___?

Another crypto hack over $100m by ___?

44%

December 31, 2026

$182K Vol.

$725 Liq.

29

Trump eliminates capital gains tax on crypto by ___?

Trump eliminates capital gains tax on crypto by ___?

5%

December 31, 2026

$103K Vol.

$7.4K Liq.

23

Nothing Ever Happens: Crypto Edition

Nothing Ever Happens: Crypto Edition

100%

$52.6K Vol.

$10.7K Liq.

2

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

34%

$441K Vol.

$28.3K Liq.

2

Ends in 9 months

US Treasury transactions on blockchain by June 30?

US Treasury transactions on blockchain by June 30?

9%

$0 Vol.

$571 Liq.

22

Ends in 3 months

Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?

Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?

48%

$456K Vol.

$21.8K Liq.

35

Ends in 9 months

Will a new country buy Bitcoin by...?

Will a new country buy Bitcoin by...?

63%

December 31, 2026

$29.3K Vol.

$1.9K Liq.

24

Ends in 9 months

Record crypto liquidation in 2026?

Record crypto liquidation in 2026?

23%

$64.7K Vol.

$9.0K Liq.

18

Ends in 9 months

What will Bitcoin outperform in March?

What will Bitcoin outperform in March?

100%

Gold

$113K Vol.

$39.0K Liq.

What will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit in 2026?

What will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit in 2026?

39%

↓ 30

$21.8K Vol.

$1.4K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

Will Bitcoin kimchi premium hit 8% in 2026?

Will Bitcoin kimchi premium hit 8% in 2026?

50%

$608 Vol.

$787 Liq.

Ends in 9 months

Another S&P 500 Company buys Bitcoin by ___?

Another S&P 500 Company buys Bitcoin by ___?

24%

December 31, 2026

$99.3K Vol.

$296 Liq.

36

US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?

US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?

17%

$24.7K Vol.

$17.6K Liq.

34

Ends in 9 months

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 20, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 20, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET

Up

$0 Vol.

$0 Liq.

What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?

What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?

75%

↓ 55,000

$28M Vol.

$231K today

$3M Liq.

48

Ends in 9 months

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 20, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 20, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET

Down

$0 Vol.

$0 Liq.

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 19, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 19, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET

50%

Up

$0 Vol.

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 30, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 30, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET

Down

$0 Vol.

$0 Liq.

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Crypto Policy.

Polymarket currently hosts 117 active markets for Crypto Policy that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Trove founder arrested by March 31?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $29.9M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Nothing Ever Happens: 2026”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 100% chance to ↓ 85,000. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Crypto Policy predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.