Climate predictions & odds

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Natural Disaster in 2026?

Climate

Science

Natural Disaster in 2026?

48%

$85.3k Vol.

$12.9k Liq.

5

Ends in 12 months

Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?

Climate

Science

Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?

36%

$214k Vol.

$3.2k Liq.

8

Ends in 12 months

Max Arctic sea ice extent this winter?

Climate

Weather

Max Arctic sea ice extent this winter?

24%

14.2-14.4m sq km

$1.4k Vol.

$4.6k Liq.

2

Ends in 2 months

Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?

Climate

Science

Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?

8%

$13.8k Vol.

$20.0k Liq.

7

Ends in about 1 year

Will a hurricane make landfall in the US by May 31?

Climate

Weather

Will a hurricane make landfall in the US by May 31?

9%

$1.8k Vol.

$3.5k Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Named storm forms before hurricane season?

Climate

Science

Named storm forms before hurricane season?

44%

$141k Vol.

$3.6k Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Min Arctic sea ice extent this summer?

Climate

Weather

Min Arctic sea ice extent this summer?

22%

4.0-4.2m sq km

$551 Vol.

$2.3k Liq.

5

Ends in 8 months