Trader consensus favors Scottie Scheffler at 15.5% implied probability to claim the green jacket at Augusta National, driven by his elite strokes gained tee-to-green dominance (top-ranked over recent months), multiple course wins, and rest advantage after withdrawing from the Houston Open for family reasons rather than injury. Bryson DeChambeau (7.5%) and Jon Rahm (7.4%) draw support from LIV form and par-5 bombing suited to Augusta's layout, while Rory McIlroy's (6.5%) defending champion status is tempered by recent back spasms prompting withdrawals. Cameron Young's Players Championship triumph and Matt Fitzpatrick's Valspar victory fuel their rises to 3.8% and 5.4%, highlighting momentum in this wide-open field where precision irons and scrambling differentiate leaders.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedScottie Scheffler 16%
Bryson Dechambeau 8%
Jon Rahm 7.4%
Rory McIlroy 7%
$61,112,075 Vol.
$61,112,075 Vol.
Scottie Scheffler
16%
Bryson Dechambeau
8%
Jon Rahm
7%
Rory McIlroy
7%
Matt Fitzpatrick
6%
Ludvig Aberg
5%
Xander Schauffele
5%
Cameron Young
4%
Justin Rose
3%
Tommy Fleetwood
3%
Hideki Matsuyama
3%
Collin Morikawa
3%
Jordan Spieth
2%
Brooks Koepka
2%
Akshay Bhatia
2%
Patrick Reed
2%
Nicolai Hojgaard
2%
Sepp Straka
2%
Robert MacIntyre
2%
Viktor Hovland
1%
Justin Thomas
1%
Adam Scott
1%
Russell Henley
1%
Jason Day
1%
Shane Lowry
1%
Min Woo Lee
1%
Tyrrell Hatton
1%
Patrick Cantlay
1%
Joaquin Niemann
1%
Sam Burns
1%
Maverick McNealy
1%
Sungjae Im
1%
Max Homa
1%
Sahith Theegala
1%
Brian Harman
1%
Rasmus Hojgaard
1%
Cameron Smith
1%
Corey Conners
1%
Wyndham Clark
1%
Will Zalatoris
1%
Keegan Bradley
<1%
Tiger Woods
<1%
Tony Finau
<1%
Sergio Garcia
<1%
Thomas Detry
<1%
Aaron Rai
<1%
Dustin Johnson
<1%
Tom Kim
<1%
Billy Horschel
<1%
Phil Mickelson
<1%
Byeong Hun An
<1%
Charl Schwartzel
<1%
Bubba Watson
<1%
Danny Willett
<1%
Fred Couples
<1%
Zach Johnson
<1%
Davis Thompson
<1%
Denny McCarthy
<1%
Taylor Pendrith
<1%
Scottie Scheffler 16%
Bryson Dechambeau 8%
Jon Rahm 7.4%
Rory McIlroy 7%
$61,112,075 Vol.
$61,112,075 Vol.
Scottie Scheffler
16%
Bryson Dechambeau
8%
Jon Rahm
7%
Rory McIlroy
7%
Matt Fitzpatrick
6%
Ludvig Aberg
5%
Xander Schauffele
5%
Cameron Young
4%
Justin Rose
3%
Tommy Fleetwood
3%
Hideki Matsuyama
3%
Collin Morikawa
3%
Jordan Spieth
2%
Brooks Koepka
2%
Akshay Bhatia
2%
Patrick Reed
2%
Nicolai Hojgaard
2%
Sepp Straka
2%
Robert MacIntyre
2%
Viktor Hovland
1%
Justin Thomas
1%
Adam Scott
1%
Russell Henley
1%
Jason Day
1%
Shane Lowry
1%
Min Woo Lee
1%
Tyrrell Hatton
1%
Patrick Cantlay
1%
Joaquin Niemann
1%
Sam Burns
1%
Maverick McNealy
1%
Sungjae Im
1%
Max Homa
1%
Sahith Theegala
1%
Brian Harman
1%
Rasmus Hojgaard
1%
Cameron Smith
1%
Corey Conners
1%
Wyndham Clark
1%
Will Zalatoris
1%
Keegan Bradley
<1%
Tiger Woods
<1%
Tony Finau
<1%
Sergio Garcia
<1%
Thomas Detry
<1%
Aaron Rai
<1%
Dustin Johnson
<1%
Tom Kim
<1%
Billy Horschel
<1%
Phil Mickelson
<1%
Byeong Hun An
<1%
Charl Schwartzel
<1%
Bubba Watson
<1%
Danny Willett
<1%
Fred Couples
<1%
Zach Johnson
<1%
Davis Thompson
<1%
Denny McCarthy
<1%
Taylor Pendrith
<1%
If this player is eliminated from contention for The Masters based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by The Masters official tournament rules.
If no winner is announced by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA TOUR website and The Masters website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Aug 28, 2025, 11:48 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If this player is eliminated from contention for The Masters based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by The Masters official tournament rules.
If no winner is announced by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA TOUR website and The Masters website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus favors Scottie Scheffler at 15.5% implied probability to claim the green jacket at Augusta National, driven by his elite strokes gained tee-to-green dominance (top-ranked over recent months), multiple course wins, and rest advantage after withdrawing from the Houston Open for family reasons rather than injury. Bryson DeChambeau (7.5%) and Jon Rahm (7.4%) draw support from LIV form and par-5 bombing suited to Augusta's layout, while Rory McIlroy's (6.5%) defending champion status is tempered by recent back spasms prompting withdrawals. Cameron Young's Players Championship triumph and Matt Fitzpatrick's Valspar victory fuel their rises to 3.8% and 5.4%, highlighting momentum in this wide-open field where precision irons and scrambling differentiate leaders.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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