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Who will win the Democratic nomination for the NY-10 House election?

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Who will win the Democratic nomination for the NY-10 House election?

$25,092 Vol.

Aug 23, 2022
Polymarket

$25,092 Vol.

Polymarket
Market icon

Carlina Rivera

$7,895 Vol.

No

Market icon

Yuh-Line Niou

$6,346 Vol.

No

Market icon

Daniel Goldman

$10,851 Vol.

Yes

This is a market on whether Yuh-Line Niou will win the Democratic nomination for the 2022 election to the United States House of Representatives for New York's Tenth Congressional District (NY-10). The primary election is scheduled to take place on August 23, 2022.

If Yuh-Line Niou wins the Democratic nomination for the NY-10 House election, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.

If the Democratic nomination for the NY-10 House election is not made by November 8, 2022, this market will resolve to "No".

Determination of the Democratic nominee for the 2022 election for the NY-10 House seat will be based on a consensus of credible reporting, or if there is ambiguity, the final state election authority certification or other final official determination of the 2022 election results.
Volume
$25,092
End Date
Aug 23, 2022
Market Opened
Aug 4, 2022, 8:00 PM ET
This is a market on whether Yuh-Line Niou will win the Democratic nomination for the 2022 election to the United States House of Representatives for New York's Tenth Congressional District (NY-10). The primary election is scheduled to take place on August 23, 2022. If Yuh-Line Niou wins the Democratic nomination for the NY-10 House election, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If the Democratic nomination for the NY-10 House election is not made by November 8, 2022, this market will resolve to "No". Determination of the Democratic nominee for the 2022 election for the NY-10 House seat will be based on a consensus of credible reporting, or if there is ambiguity, the final state election authority certification or other final official determination of the 2022 election results.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Who will win the Democratic nomination for the NY-10 House election?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 3 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Daniel Goldman" at 100%, followed by "Carlina Rivera" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Who will win the Democratic nomination for the NY-10 House election?" has generated $25.1K in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 5, 2022. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Who will win the Democratic nomination for the NY-10 House election?," browse the 3 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Who will win the Democratic nomination for the NY-10 House election?" is "Daniel Goldman" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Carlina Rivera" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Who will win the Democratic nomination for the NY-10 House election?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.