Galatasaray's commanding 64 points from 26 Süper Lig matches, including a league-best +44 goal difference and just 18 goals conceded, has solidified trader consensus at 86.5% implied probability for the title, bolstered by their recent 3-1 win over Başakşehir that extended the lead to seven points after Fenerbahçe's first loss of the season on March 17. Fenerbahçe sit second on 60 points from 27 games, hampered by nine draws despite a potent 61-goal attack, while Trabzonspor lurk third near their tally. Victor Osimhen's hand injury recovery progresses toward a timely return, minimizing disruption. Challenges could arise from a Galatasaray slip in the April 26 Intercontinental derby versus Fenerbahçe, rival surges amid fixture congestion, or unforeseen injury crises in the run-in.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedGalatasaray 86%
Fenerbahçe 10%
Trabzonspor 1.0%
Göztepe <1%
$32,529 Vol.
$32,529 Vol.
Galatasaray
86%
Fenerbahçe
10%
Trabzonspor
1%
Göztepe
1%
Başakşehir
<1%
Beşiktaş
<1%
Galatasaray 86%
Fenerbahçe 10%
Trabzonspor 1.0%
Göztepe <1%
$32,529 Vol.
$32,529 Vol.
Galatasaray
86%
Fenerbahçe
10%
Trabzonspor
1%
Göztepe
1%
Başakşehir
<1%
Beşiktaş
<1%
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the Süper Lig title (e.g., mathematical elimination before the end of the season), the relevant market will resolve immediately to “No.”
If the 2025-26 Süper Lig season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Turkish Football Federation (https://www.tff.org/). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Oct 9, 2025, 8:07 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the Süper Lig title (e.g., mathematical elimination before the end of the season), the relevant market will resolve immediately to “No.”
If the 2025-26 Süper Lig season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Turkish Football Federation (https://www.tff.org/). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Galatasaray's commanding 64 points from 26 Süper Lig matches, including a league-best +44 goal difference and just 18 goals conceded, has solidified trader consensus at 86.5% implied probability for the title, bolstered by their recent 3-1 win over Başakşehir that extended the lead to seven points after Fenerbahçe's first loss of the season on March 17. Fenerbahçe sit second on 60 points from 27 games, hampered by nine draws despite a potent 61-goal attack, while Trabzonspor lurk third near their tally. Victor Osimhen's hand injury recovery progresses toward a timely return, minimizing disruption. Challenges could arise from a Galatasaray slip in the April 26 Intercontinental derby versus Fenerbahçe, rival surges amid fixture congestion, or unforeseen injury crises in the run-in.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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