Arsenal tops trader consensus for the 2025-2026 FA Cup at 35.5% implied probability, driven by their blistering start to the current Premier League campaign—unbeaten through nine matches with the league's best defense—and proven squad depth for grueling cup schedules. Manchester City (22.5%) follows as perennial contenders with Pep Guardiola's knockout expertise and back-to-back deep runs, despite recent domestic wobbles. Chelsea (20.5%) gains from Enzo Maresca's tactical setup and summer reinforcements, while Liverpool (15%) leverages explosive attack under Arne Slot. Lower tiers reflect Championship leaders like Leeds (5.9%) eyeing promotion and Premier League mid-table risers West Ham (6.2%), with no major injuries or suspensions shifting odds recently amid the international break.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedArsenal 36%
Manchester City 23%
Chelsea 21%
Liverpool 15%
$283,809 Vol.
$283,809 Vol.
Arsenal
36%
Manchester City
23%
Chelsea
21%
Liverpool
15%
West Ham United
6%
Leeds United AFC
6%
Southampton
3%
Port Vale
1%
Arsenal 36%
Manchester City 23%
Chelsea 21%
Liverpool 15%
$283,809 Vol.
$283,809 Vol.
Arsenal
36%
Manchester City
23%
Chelsea
21%
Liverpool
15%
West Ham United
6%
Leeds United AFC
6%
Southampton
3%
Port Vale
1%
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2025-2026 FA Cup per the rules of the tournament (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2025-2026 FA Cup is cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the English Football Association (https://www.thefa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Jan 22, 2026, 6:52 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Arsenal tops trader consensus for the 2025-2026 FA Cup at 35.5% implied probability, driven by their blistering start to the current Premier League campaign—unbeaten through nine matches with the league's best defense—and proven squad depth for grueling cup schedules. Manchester City (22.5%) follows as perennial contenders with Pep Guardiola's knockout expertise and back-to-back deep runs, despite recent domestic wobbles. Chelsea (20.5%) gains from Enzo Maresca's tactical setup and summer reinforcements, while Liverpool (15%) leverages explosive attack under Arne Slot. Lower tiers reflect Championship leaders like Leeds (5.9%) eyeing promotion and Premier League mid-table risers West Ham (6.2%), with no major injuries or suspensions shifting odds recently amid the international break.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated



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