Market icon

"They Will Kill You" Opening Weekend Box Office

Market icon

"They Will Kill You" Opening Weekend Box Office

Mar 30

Mar 30

Mar 30

Apr 6

Mar 30

Mar 30

Mar 30

Apr 6

<5m 46%

5-6m 45%

6-7m 5.8%

7-8m 2.4%

Polymarket

$94,377 Vol.

<5m 46%

5-6m 45%

6-7m 5.8%

7-8m 2.4%

Polymarket

$94,377 Vol.

<5m

$27,064 Vol.

46%

5-6m

$9,853 Vol.

45%

6-7m

$14,492 Vol.

6%

7-8m

$9,572 Vol.

2%

>8m

$33,396 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to how much "They Will Kill You" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily" figures found on the “Domestic Daily” tab on this movie's Box Office Mojo (https://www.boxofficemojo.com/title/tt28650488/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (March 27 - March 29) are final (i.e., not studio estimates). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note, this market will resolve according to the BoxOfficeMojo figures provided under Domestic Daily performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures. If there is no final data available by April 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects razor-thin uncertainty for "They Will Kill You"'s opening weekend, with <5M (46.5%) edging 5-6M (44%) after Thursday previews grossed a modest $1M—below recent horrors like "Ready or Not 2"—and Friday estimates at $2.4M. The Zazie Beetz-led action-horror faces stiff competition from "Project Hail Mary"'s projected $46M+ second weekend holdover, dominating screens and audiences, amid genre overlap with last week's cult thriller. Mixed critical reception (66% Rotten Tomatoes) and 183M social reach—solid but not explosive—temper walkup potential over the March 27-29 frame across 2,778 theaters, with word-of-mouth as the key swing factor for breaking higher.

Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects razor-thin uncertainty for "They Will Kill You"'s opening weekend, with <5M (46.5%) edging 5-6M (44%) after Thursday previews grossed a modest $1M—below recent horrors like "Ready or Not 2"—and Friday estimates at $2.4M. The Zazie Beetz-led action-horror faces stiff competition from "Project Hail Mary"'s projected $46M+ second weekend holdover, dominating screens and audiences, amid genre overlap with last week's cult thriller. Mixed critical reception (66% Rotten Tomatoes) and 183M social reach—solid but not explosive—temper walkup potential over the March 27-29 frame across 2,778 theaters, with word-of-mouth as the key swing factor for breaking higher.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
This market will resolve according to how much "They Will Kill You" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily" figures found on the “Domestic Daily” tab on this movie's Box Office Mojo (https://www.boxofficemojo.com/title/tt28650488/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (March 27 - March 29) are final (i.e., not studio estimates). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note, this market will resolve according to the BoxOfficeMojo figures provided under Domestic Daily performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures. If there is no final data available by April 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects razor-thin uncertainty for "They Will Kill You"'s opening weekend, with <5M (46.5%) edging 5-6M (44%) after Thursday previews grossed a modest $1M—below recent horrors like "Ready or Not 2"—and Friday estimates at $2.4M. The Zazie Beetz-led action-horror faces stiff competition from "Project Hail Mary"'s projected $46M+ second weekend holdover, dominating screens and audiences, amid genre overlap with last week's cult thriller. Mixed critical reception (66% Rotten Tomatoes) and 183M social reach—solid but not explosive—temper walkup potential over the March 27-29 frame across 2,778 theaters, with word-of-mouth as the key swing factor for breaking higher.

Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects razor-thin uncertainty for "They Will Kill You"'s opening weekend, with <5M (46.5%) edging 5-6M (44%) after Thursday previews grossed a modest $1M—below recent horrors like "Ready or Not 2"—and Friday estimates at $2.4M. The Zazie Beetz-led action-horror faces stiff competition from "Project Hail Mary"'s projected $46M+ second weekend holdover, dominating screens and audiences, amid genre overlap with last week's cult thriller. Mixed critical reception (66% Rotten Tomatoes) and 183M social reach—solid but not explosive—temper walkup potential over the March 27-29 frame across 2,778 theaters, with word-of-mouth as the key swing factor for breaking higher.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated

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Frequently Asked Questions

""They Will Kill You" Opening Weekend Box Office" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 5 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "<5m" at 46%, followed by "5-6m" at 45%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 46¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 46% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, ""They Will Kill You" Opening Weekend Box Office" has generated $94.4K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 23, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on ""They Will Kill You" Opening Weekend Box Office," browse the 5 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for ""They Will Kill You" Opening Weekend Box Office" is "<5m" at 46%, meaning the market assigns a 46% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "5-6m" at 45%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for ""They Will Kill You" Opening Weekend Box Office" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.