Market icon

Which movie has biggest opening weekend in 2026?

$62,078 Vol.

Avengers: Doomsday 67%

Spider-Man: Brand New Day 16%

Toy Story 5 8%

Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu 4.4%

OUTCOME
% CHANCE

Rules

This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening weekend than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekend Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/movies/year/2026 will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend are final (i.e. not studio estimates).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its 3-day domestic opening weekend than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.

Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend.

If another movie's opening weekend box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.

If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Volume
$62,078
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Created At
Nov 12, 2025, 10:18 PM UTC
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Beware of external links.

$62,078 Vol.

Market icon

Which movie has biggest opening weekend in 2026?

Avengers: Doomsday 67%

Spider-Man: Brand New Day 16%

Toy Story 5 8%

Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu 4.4%

OUTCOME
% CHANCE

Avengers: Doomsday

$4,172 Vol.

67%

Spider-Man: Brand New Day

$4,245 Vol.

16%

Toy Story 5

$2,398 Vol.

8%

Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu

$2,543 Vol.

4%

The Odyssey

$5,961 Vol.

4%

Dune: Messiah

$10,139 Vol.

4%

Michael

$8,335 Vol.

2%

Scream 7

$5,245 Vol.

1%

The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping

$4,915 Vol.

1%

Project Hail Mary

$10,993 Vol.

1%

Wuthering Heights

$3,131 Vol.

1%

About

Volume
$62,078
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Created At
Nov 12, 2025, 10:18 PM UTC
shield

Beware of external links.