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2026 FIFA World Cup Winner

Market icon

2026 FIFA World Cup Winner

Spain 15.3%

England 13.2%

Argentina 11.5%

France 10.8%

Polymarket

$270,082,595 Vol.

Spain 15.3%

England 13.2%

Argentina 11.5%

France 10.8%

Polymarket

$270,082,595 Vol.

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Spain

$3,240,065 Vol.

15%

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England

$2,700,849 Vol.

13%

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Argentina

$3,528,629 Vol.

12%

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France

$2,847,592 Vol.

11%

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Brazil

$3,012,532 Vol.

9%

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Portugal

$6,528,163 Vol.

7%

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Germany

$4,908,012 Vol.

6%

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Norway

$5,749,555 Vol.

3%

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Netherlands

$5,671,032 Vol.

3%

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Italy

$4,607,965 Vol.

2%

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Belgium

$5,033,056 Vol.

2%

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Colombia

$3,831,527 Vol.

2%

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USA

$3,199,907 Vol.

2%

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Japan

$5,716,716 Vol.

2%

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Morocco

$5,114,856 Vol.

2%

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Uruguay

$4,004,092 Vol.

1%

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Mexico

$5,368,946 Vol.

1%

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Croatia

$5,400,973 Vol.

1%

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Ecuador

$4,974,019 Vol.

1%

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Switzerland

$6,260,265 Vol.

1%

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Senegal

$6,160,205 Vol.

1%

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South Korea

$6,984,682 Vol.

1%

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Austria

$6,364,711 Vol.

1%

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Canada

$8,326,587 Vol.

<1%

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Scotland

$7,153,659 Vol.

<1%

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Ivory Coast

$5,215,530 Vol.

<1%

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Paraguay

$8,129,407 Vol.

<1%

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Egypt

$6,601,209 Vol.

<1%

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Algeria

$4,690,364 Vol.

<1%

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South Africa

$14,971,354 Vol.

<1%

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Qatar

$7,601,973 Vol.

<1%

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New Zealand

$11,072,392 Vol.

<1%

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Haiti

$6,914,310 Vol.

<1%

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Jordan

$10,822,086 Vol.

<1%

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Curaçao

$9,398,947 Vol.

<1%

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Iran

$6,691,503 Vol.

<1%

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Ghana

$3,423,892 Vol.

<1%

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Tunisia

$4,720,330 Vol.

<1%

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Uzbekistan

$22,840,510 Vol.

<1%

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Cape Verde

$5,295,370 Vol.

<1%

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Australia

$4,681,736 Vol.

<1%

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Saudi Arabia

$10,058,497 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup.

If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$270,082,595
End Date
Jul 20, 2026
Market Opened
Jul 2, 2025, 6:06 PM ET

We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.

This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"2026 FIFA World Cup Winner " is a prediction market on Polymarket with 43+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Spain" at 15%, followed by "England" at 13%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 15¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 15% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "2026 FIFA World Cup Winner " has generated $270.1 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 2, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "2026 FIFA World Cup Winner ," browse the 43+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "2026 FIFA World Cup Winner " is "Spain" at 15%, meaning the market assigns a 15% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "England" at 13%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "2026 FIFA World Cup Winner " define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.