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Next Prime Minister of the Netherlands

Market icon

Next Prime Minister of the Netherlands

Rob Jetten 100.0%

Dilan Yeşilgöz-Zegerius <1%

Frans Timmermans <1%

Geert Wilders <1%

Polymarket

$21,921,114 Vol.

Rob Jetten 100.0%

Dilan Yeşilgöz-Zegerius <1%

Frans Timmermans <1%

Geert Wilders <1%

Polymarket

$21,921,114 Vol.

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Dilan Yeşilgöz-Zegerius

$835,889 Vol.

No

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Frans Timmermans

$1,687,035 Vol.

No

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Geert Wilders

$2,112,413 Vol.

No

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Nicolien van Vroonhoven-Kok

$1,126,491 Vol.

No

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Dick Schoof

$846,215 Vol.

No

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Caroline van der Plas

$3,115,069 Vol.

No

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Rob Jetten

$4,314,740 Vol.

Yes

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Henri Bontenbal

$1,650,988 Vol.

No

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Ahmed Aboutaleb

$5,824,959 Vol.

No

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Klaas Dijkhoff

$407,315 Vol.

No

The ruling coalition of the Netherlands collapsed on June 3, 2025. New parliamentary elections are scheduled for October 29.

This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of the Netherlands following the 2025 parliamentary election.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the Netherlands; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$21,921,114
End Date
Dec 31, 2025
Market Opened
Jul 7, 2025, 3:19 PM ET
The ruling coalition of the Netherlands collapsed on June 3, 2025. New parliamentary elections are scheduled for October 29. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of the Netherlands following the 2025 parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the Netherlands; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Next Prime Minister of the Netherlands" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 10 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Rob Jetten" at 100%, followed by "Dilan Yeşilgöz-Zegerius" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Next Prime Minister of the Netherlands" has generated $21.9 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 7, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Next Prime Minister of the Netherlands," browse the 10 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Next Prime Minister of the Netherlands" is "Rob Jetten" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Dilan Yeşilgöz-Zegerius" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Next Prime Minister of the Netherlands" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.